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The evolving liaisons between the transaction networks of Bitcoin and its price dynamics

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Listed:
  • Alexandre Bovet
  • Carlo Campajola
  • Francesco Mottes
  • Valerio Restocchi
  • Nicol`o Vallarano
  • Tiziano Squartini
  • Claudio J. Tessone

Abstract

Cryptocurrencies are distributed systems that allow exchanges of native tokens among participants, or the exchange of such tokens for fiat currencies in markets external to these public ledgers. The availability of their complete historical bookkeeping opens up the possibility of understanding the relationship between aggregated users' behaviour and the cryptocurrency pricing in exchange markets. This paper analyses the properties of the transaction network of Bitcoin. We consider four different representations of it, over a period of nine years since the Bitcoin creation and involving 16 million users and 283 million transactions. By analysing these networks, we show the existence of causal relationships between Bitcoin price movements and changes of its transaction network topology. Our results reveal the interplay between structural quantities, indicative of the collective behaviour of Bitcoin users, and price movements, showing that, during price drops, the system is characterised by a larger heterogeneity of nodes activity.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexandre Bovet & Carlo Campajola & Francesco Mottes & Valerio Restocchi & Nicol`o Vallarano & Tiziano Squartini & Claudio J. Tessone, 2019. "The evolving liaisons between the transaction networks of Bitcoin and its price dynamics," Papers 1907.03577, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1907.03577
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1907.03577
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    Cited by:

    1. Carlo Campajola & Raffaele Cristodaro & Francesco Maria De Collibus & Tao Yan & Nicolo' Vallarano & Claudio J. Tessone, 2022. "The Evolution Of Centralisation on Cryptocurrency Platforms," Papers 2206.05081, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    2. Silvia Bartolucci & Fabio Caccioli & Pierpaolo Vivo, 2019. "A percolation model for the emergence of the Bitcoin Lightning Network," Papers 1912.03556, arXiv.org.
    3. Yang, Zixiu & Fantazzini, Dean, 2022. "Using crypto assets pricing methods to build technical oscillators for short-term bitcoin trading," MPRA Paper 115508, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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