IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1901.07241.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The spread of a financial virus through Europe and beyond

Author

Listed:
  • Olena Kostylenko
  • Helena Sofia Rodrigues
  • Delfim F. M. Torres

Abstract

We analyse the importance of international relations between countries on the financial stability. The contagion effect in the network is tested by implementing an epidemiological model, comprising a number of European countries and using bilateral data on foreign claims between them. Banking statistics of consolidated foreign claims on ultimate risk bases, obtained from the Banks of International Settlements, allow us to measure the exposure of contagion spreading from a particular country to the other national banking systems. We show that the financial system of some countries, experiencing the debt crisis, is a source of global systemic risk because they threaten the stability of a larger system, being a global threat to the intoxication of the world economy and resulting in what we call a `financial virus'. Illustrative simulations were done in the NetLogo multi-agent programmable modelling environment and in MATLAB.

Suggested Citation

  • Olena Kostylenko & Helena Sofia Rodrigues & Delfim F. M. Torres, 2019. "The spread of a financial virus through Europe and beyond," Papers 1901.07241, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1901.07241
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1901.07241
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Paltalidis, Nikos & Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Kizys, Renatas & Koutelidakis, Yiannis, 2015. "Transmission channels of systemic risk and contagion in the European financial network," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S1), pages 36-52.
    2. Eugenio Cerutti & Stijn Claessens & Patrick McGuire, 2012. "Systemic Risks in Global Banking: What Available Data Can Tell Us and What More Data Are Needed?," NBER Chapters, in: Risk Topography: Systemic Risk and Macro Modeling, pages 235-260, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Paolo Giudici & Laura Parisi, 2018. "CoRisk: Credit Risk Contagion with Correlation Network Models," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-19, September.
    4. Ahnert, Toni & Georg, Co-Pierre, 2018. "Information contagion and systemic risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 159-171.
    5. Robert Engle & Eric Jondeau & Michael Rockinger, 2015. "Systemic Risk in Europe," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 19(1), pages 145-190.
    6. Inci, A. Can & Li, H.C. & McCarthy, Joseph, 2011. "Financial contagion: A local correlation analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 11-25, January.
    7. David, T. & van Kempen, Thomas & Huang, Huaxiong & Wilson, Phillip, 2011. "The geometry and dynamics of binary trees," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(7), pages 1464-1481.
    8. Alexakis, Panayotis D. & Kenourgios, Dimitris & Dimitriou, Dimitrios, 2016. "On emerging stock market contagion: The Baltic region," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 312-321.
    9. Eugenio Cerutti & Stijn Claessens & Patrick McGuire, 2012. "Systemic risk in global banking: what can available data tell us and what more data are needed?," BIS Working Papers 376, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. Olena Kostylenko & Helena Sofia Rodrigues & Delfim F. M. Torres, 2017. "Banking risk as an epidemiological model: an optimal control approach," Papers 1707.03500, arXiv.org.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Paolo Bartesaghi & Michele Benzi & Gian Paolo Clemente & Rosanna Grassi & Ernesto Estrada, 2019. "Risk-dependent centrality in economic and financial networks," Papers 1907.07908, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
    2. Bart Stellinga, 2021. "The Rise and Stall of EU Macro‐Prudential Policy. An Empirical Analysis of Policy Conflicts over Financial Stability, Market Integration, and National Discretion," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(6), pages 1438-1457, November.
    3. Chen, Naixi & Fan, Hong, 2023. "Credit risk contagion and optimal dual control—An SIS/R model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 448-472.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Baumöhl, Eduard & Bouri, Elie & Hoang, Thi-Hong-Van & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Výrost, Tomáš, 2022. "Measuring systemic risk in the global banking sector: A cross-quantilogram network approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    2. Pham, Thach N. & Powell, Robert & Bannigidadmath, Deepa, 2021. "Systemically important banks in Asian emerging markets: Evidence from four systemic risk measures," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    3. Sylvain Benoît & Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Christophe Pérignon, 2013. "A Theoretical and Empirical Comparison of Systemic Risk Measures," Working Papers halshs-00746272, HAL.
    4. Olivier de Bandt & Jean-Cyprien Héam & Claire Labonne & Santiago Tavolaro, 2015. "La mesure du risque systémique après la crise financière," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 66(3), pages 481-500.
    5. Cerutti, Eugenio & Hale, Galina & Minoiu, Camelia, 2015. "Financial crises and the composition of cross-border lending," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 60-81.
    6. Israël, Jean-Marc & Sandars, Patrick & Schubert, Aurel & Fischer, Björn, 2013. "Statistics and indicators for financial stability analysis and policy," Occasional Paper Series 145, European Central Bank.
    7. Mrs. Jana Bricco & Ms. TengTeng Xu, 2019. "Interconnectedness and Contagion Analysis: A Practical Framework," IMF Working Papers 2019/220, International Monetary Fund.
    8. P. I. Omede, 2020. "A Tale of Two Markets: How Lower-end Borrowers Are Punished for Bank Regulatory Failures in Nigeria," Journal of Consumer Policy, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 519-542, September.
    9. Christina Bui, 2018. "Bank Regulation and Financial Stability," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 5-2018, January-A.
    10. Bholat, David & Gray, Joanna, 2013. "Organizational form as a source of systemic risk," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-35.
    11. Demian Macedo & Victor Troster, 2021. "Liquidity shocks and interbank market failures: the role of deposit flights, non-performing loans, and competition," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 16(4), pages 705-746, October.
    12. Spiros Bougheas & Alan Kirman, 2015. "Complex Financial Networks and Systemic Risk: A Review," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Pasquale Commendatore & Saime Kayam & Ingrid Kubin (ed.), Complexity and Geographical Economics, edition 127, pages 115-139, Springer.
    13. Bank for International Settlements, 2014. "EME banking systems and regional financial integration," CGFS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 51, december.
    14. Kanno, Masayasu, 2015. "Assessing systemic risk using interbank exposures in the global banking system," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 105-130.
    15. Niepmann, Friederike, 2015. "Banking across borders," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 244-265.
    16. Bui, Christina & Scheule, Harald & Wu, Eliza, 2020. "A cautionary tale of two extremes: The provision of government liquidity support in the banking sector," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    17. Foglia, Matteo & Addi, Abdelhamid & Wang, Gang-Jin & Angelini, Eliana, 2022. "Bearish Vs Bullish risk network: A Eurozone financial system analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    18. Samuel R�nnqvist & Peter Sarlin, 2015. "Bank networks from text: interrelations, centrality and determinants," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(10), pages 1619-1635, October.
    19. Fischer, Björn & Sandars, Patrick & Israël, Jean-Marc & Schubert, Aurel, 2013. "Statistics and indicators for financial stability analysis and policy," Occasional Paper Series 145, European Central Bank.
    20. O. de Bandt & J.-C. Héam & C. Labonne & S. Tavolaro, 2013. "Measuring Systemic Risk in a Post-Crisis World," Débats économiques et financiers 6, Banque de France.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1901.07241. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.