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Ramsey Rule with Progressive utility and Long Term Affine Yields Curves

Author

Listed:
  • Nicole El Karoui

    (LPMA)

  • Mohamed Mrad

    (LAGA)

  • Caroline Hillairet

    (CMAP)

Abstract

The purpose of this paper relies on the study of long term affine yield curves modeling. It is inspired by the Ramsey rule of the economic literature, that links discount rate and marginal utility of aggregate optimal consumption. For such a long maturity modelization, the possibility of adjusting preferences to new economic information is crucial, justifying the use of progressive utility. This paper studies, in a framework with affine factors, the yield curve given from the Ramsey rule. It first characterizes consistent progressive utility of investment and consumption, given the optimal wealth and consumption processes. A special attention is paid to utilities associated with linear optimal processes with respect to their initial conditions, which is for example the case of power progressive utilities. Those utilities are the basis point to construct other progressive utilities generating non linear optimal processes but leading yet to still tractable computations. This is of particular interest to study the impact of initial wealth on yield curves.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicole El Karoui & Mohamed Mrad & Caroline Hillairet, 2014. "Ramsey Rule with Progressive utility and Long Term Affine Yields Curves," Papers 1404.1913, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1404.1913
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1404.1913
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. John C. Cox & Jonathan E. Ingersoll Jr. & Stephen A. Ross, 2005. "A Theory Of The Term Structure Of Interest Rates," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 5, pages 129-164, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Nicole El Karoui & Caroline Hillairet & Mohamed Mrad, 2014. "Ramsey Rule with Progressive Utility in Long Term Yield Curves Modeling," Papers 1404.1895, arXiv.org.
    3. Nicole El Karoui & Caroline Hillairet & Mohamed Mrad, 2014. "Affine long term yield curves: An application of the Ramsey rule with progressive utility," Journal of Financial Engineering (JFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 1(01), pages 1-24.
    4. Gollier, Christian, 2010. "Expected net present value, expected net future value, and the Ramsey rule," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 59(2), pages 142-148, March.
    5. Damir Filipović & Eckhard Platen, 2009. "Consistent Market Extensions Under The Benchmark Approach," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 41-52, January.
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    7. Gollier, Christian, 2009. "Should we Discount the Far-Distant Future at its Lowest Possible Rate?," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 3, pages 1-14.
    8. Stern,Nicholas, 2007. "The Economics of Climate Change," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521700801, October.
    9. Nicole El Karoui & Mohamed M'Rad, 2010. "Stochastic Utilities With a Given Optimal Portfolio : Approach by Stochastic Flows," Working Papers hal-00477380, HAL.
    10. Nicole El Karoui & Mohamed Mrad & Caroline Hillairet, 2014. "Ramsey Rule with Progressive utility and Long Term Affine Yields Curves," Working Papers hal-00974831, HAL.
    11. Nicole El Karoui & Caroline Hillairet & Mohamed Mrad & El Karoui & Hillairet Caroline & Mrad Mohamed, 2014. "Ramsey Rule with Progressive Utility in Long Term Yield Curves Modeling," Working Papers hal-00974815, HAL.
    12. Weitzman, Martin L., 1998. "Why the Far-Distant Future Should Be Discounted at Its Lowest Possible Rate," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 201-208, November.
    13. Dybvig, Philip H & Ingersoll, Jonathan E, Jr & Ross, Stephen A, 1996. "Long Forward and Zero-Coupon Rates Can Never Fall," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 69(1), pages 1-25, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nicole El Karoui & Caroline Hillairet & Mohamed Mrad, 2022. "Ramsey rule with forward/backward utility for long-term yield curves modeling," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 45(1), pages 375-414, June.
    2. Nicole El Karoui & Caroline Hillairet & Mohamed Mrad, 2014. "Ramsey Rule with Progressive Utility in Long Term Yield Curves Modeling," Papers 1404.1895, arXiv.org.
    3. Nicole El Karoui & Caroline Hillairet & Mohamed Mrad, 2014. "Affine long term yield curves: An application of the Ramsey rule with progressive utility," Journal of Financial Engineering (JFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 1(01), pages 1-24.
    4. Bensusan, Harry & El Karoui, Nicole & Loisel, Stéphane & Salhi, Yahia, 2016. "Partial splitting of longevity and financial risks: The longevity nominal choosing swaptions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 61-72.
    5. Edouard Debonneuil & Anne Eyraud-Loisel & Frédéric Planchet, 2018. "Can Pension Funds Partially Manage Longevity Risk by Investing in a Longevity Megafund?," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-27, July.
    6. Nicole El Karoui & Mohamed Mrad & Caroline Hillairet, 2014. "Ramsey Rule with Progressive utility and Long Term Affine Yields Curves," Post-Print hal-00974831, HAL.
    7. Nicole El Karoui & Caroline Hillairet & Mohamed Mrad & El Karoui & Hillairet Caroline & Mrad Mohamed, 2014. "Ramsey Rule with Progressive Utility in Long Term Yield Curves Modeling," Working Papers hal-00974815, HAL.
    8. Mrad Mohamed, 2020. "Mixture of consistent stochastic utilities, and a priori randomness," Working Papers hal-01728554, HAL.

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