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Continuous-time Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection with Stochastic Parameters

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  • Wan-Kai Pang
  • Yuan-Hua Ni
  • Xun Li
  • Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu

Abstract

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a bond. In the considered model firstly proposed by [3], the mean returns of individual assets are explicitly affected by underlying Gaussian economic factors. Using past and present information of the asset prices, a partial-information stochastic optimal control problem with random coefficients is formulated. Here, the partial information is due to the fact that the economic factors can not be directly observed. Via dynamic programming theory, the optimal portfolio strategy can be constructed by solving a deterministic forward Riccati-type ordinary differential equation and two linear deterministic backward ordinary differential equations.

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  • Wan-Kai Pang & Yuan-Hua Ni & Xun Li & Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu, 2013. "Continuous-time Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection with Stochastic Parameters," Papers 1302.6669, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1302.6669
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Merton, Robert C., 1971. "Optimum consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous-time model," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 373-413, December.
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    3. Duan Li & Wan‐Lung Ng, 2000. "Optimal Dynamic Portfolio Selection: Multiperiod Mean‐Variance Formulation," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(3), pages 387-406, July.
    4. Stanley R. Pliska, 1986. "A Stochastic Calculus Model of Continuous Trading: Optimal Portfolios," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 11(2), pages 371-382, May.
    5. Andrew E. B. Lim, 2004. "Quadratic Hedging and Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection with Random Parameters in an Incomplete Market," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 29(1), pages 132-161, February.
    6. William F. Sharpe, 1964. "Capital Asset Prices: A Theory Of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions Of Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 425-442, September.
    7. Tomasz R. Bielecki & Hanqing Jin & Stanley R. Pliska & Xun Yu Zhou, 2005. "Continuous‐Time Mean‐Variance Portfolio Selection With Bankruptcy Prohibition," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(2), pages 213-244, April.
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