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Reduced form modeling of limit order markets

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  • Pekka Malo
  • Teemu Pennanen

Abstract

This paper proposes a parametric approach for stochastic modeling of limit order markets. The models are obtained by augmenting classical perfectly liquid market models by few additional risk factors that describe liquidity properties of the order book. The resulting models are easy to calibrate and to analyze using standard techniques for multivariate stochastic processes. Despite their simplicity, the models are able to capture several properties that have been found in microstructural analysis of limit order markets. Calibration of a continuous-time three-factor model to Copenhagen Stock Exchange data exhibits e.g.\ mean reversion in liquidity as well as the so called crowding out effect which influences subsequent mid-price moves. Our dynamic models are well suited also for analyzing market resiliency after liquidity shocks.

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  • Pekka Malo & Teemu Pennanen, 2010. "Reduced form modeling of limit order markets," Papers 1006.4517, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1006.4517
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1006.4517
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    Cited by:

    1. Flåm, Sjur Didrik, 2015. "Bilateral exchange and competitive equilibrium," Working Papers in Economics 05/15, University of Bergen, Department of Economics.

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