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Repercussõessetoriais E Regionais Da Crise Econômica De 2009 No Brasil: Simulaçõesem Um Modelo De Equilíbrio Geral Computável De Dinâmica Recursiva

Author

Listed:
  • TERCIANE SABADINI CARVALHO

    (UFMG/CEDEPLAR)

  • EDSON PAULO DOMINGUES

    (UFMG/CEDEPLAR)

  • ADMIR ANTONIO BETARELLI JUNIOR

    (UFMG/CEDEPLAR)

  • ALINE SOUZA MAGALHÃES

    (UFMG/CEDEPLAR)

  • FLAVIANE SANTIAGO

    (UFMG/CEDEPLAR)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to analyze the effects of economic downturn with the crisis of 2009 on the Brazilian economy, especially on activity sectors and states. To get a consistent picture of these impacts, which takes into account economic macroeconomic indicators and sectoral data (exports and imports), a dynamic recursive computable general equilibrium model is used. The model´s results allow differentiating the regional and sectoral impacts according to local demand and exports, as well as the role of government spending in damping of crisis. Moreover, the impacts of some temporary reductions of IPI (equipments and cars) are analyzed.
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Suggested Citation

  • Terciane Sabadini Carvalho & Edson Paulo Domingues & Admir Antonio Betarelli Junior & Aline Souza Magalhães & Flaviane Santiago, 2011. "Repercussõessetoriais E Regionais Da Crise Econômica De 2009 No Brasil: Simulaçõesem Um Modelo De Equilíbrio Geral Computável De Dinâmica Recursiva," Anais do XXXVIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 38th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    • Handle: RePEc:anp:en2010:200
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    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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