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Impactos econômicos para o Brasil de um choque tecnológico na produção de etanol

Author

Listed:
  • Flavio Tosi Feijó

    (FURG)

  • Augusto Mussi Alvim

    (PUC-RS)

Abstract

O objetivo deste artigo é avaliar os impactos econômicos no Brasil quando ocorre uma mudança tecnológica no setor de cana-de-açúcar, em função de um aumento da demanda mundial por etanol. O instrumento utilizado para as simulações dos cenários, o GTAP (Global Trade Analysis Project), trata-se de um modelo de Equilíbrio Geral Computável (EGC) que dispõe de uma base de dados de 87 países e 57 setores e suas interligações. Os resultados obtidos com as simulações apresentaram ganhos de bem-estar e aumento do PIB para todas as regiões consideradas no modelo. Para o Brasil, o cenário que mostra maiores ganhos ocorre quando se simula uma melhora tecnológica e uma liberação total para a comercialização do etanol. Esses ganhos viriam, principalmente, do efeito direto da melhora tecnológica na produção e da melhor alocação dos recursos produtivos nos setores de manufaturas e no próprio setor sucroálcooleiro.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Flavio Tosi Feijó & Augusto Mussi Alvim, 2008. "Impactos econômicos para o Brasil de um choque tecnológico na produção de etanol," Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200807210957440, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    • Handle: RePEc:anp:en2008:200807210957440
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    JEL classification:

    • I31 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - General Welfare, Well-Being
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • Q27 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Issues in International Trade

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