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Crédito Bancário E Atividade Econômica: Evidências Empíricas Para A Produção Industrial No Estado De São Paulo

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  • Daniel Reichstul
  • Gilberto Tadeu Lima

Abstract

This study contributes to the understanding of the causality between different credit measures and indicators of economic activity in the State of São Paulo. Questions have been raised as to the prevailing Granger-causality for national economies, and a regional approach that has not yet been followed in the empirical literature is pursued here. More precisely, it is dealt with the relationship between different credit modalities and diverse aspects of São Paulo´s industrial output over the period from January 1995 to December 2003, by using both a multivariate and a bivariate Autoregressive Vector model (VAR). The results show that such a dimension of the the local financial development has followed industrial development.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Reichstul & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2005. "Crédito Bancário E Atividade Econômica: Evidências Empíricas Para A Produção Industrial No Estado De São Paulo," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 119, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    • Handle: RePEc:anp:en2005:119
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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