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Dinámica de la población de las municipalidades de la provincia de Buenos Aires 1869-2022

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  • Alberto Porto

Abstract

Se analiza la dinámica de la población de las municipalidades de la provincia de Buenos Aires con una visión de largo plazo, comprendiendo los datos de los censos nacionales y provinciales desde 1869 hasta 2022. El tamaño, la distribución territorial y la dinámica de la población constituyen insumos de gran importancia para la formulación de políticas públicas provinciales y municipales ya que son determinantes fundamentales de la demanda de sus bienes que, a diferencia de los bienes públicos nacionales, tienen un ámbito geográfico específico dentro del país (educación, salud, asistencia social, seguridad, servicios urbanos). El estudio de la dinámica poblacional implica responder varias preguntas. En primer lugar, si la distribución intermunicipal inicial predice la evolución en el tiempo. Si no fuera así, la segunda pregunta es por qué hay municipalidades que tienen hoy una población similar o menor a la inicial, otras que han crecido notablemente y entre estas últimas algunas que luego de un fuerte crecimiento continuaron con población relativamente estable. Una tercera pregunta es qué factores pueden asociarse a esas evoluciones dispares. ¿Cómo han influido las migraciones internas y externas?, ¿Cómo han influido los cambios en las estructuras productivas? ¿Qué rol han tenido las mejoras en el transporte, las comunicaciones y los cambios tecnológicos en el sector productivo? ¿Qué rol han jugado las políticas públicas? ¿Qué rol han jugado las economías de aglomeración? ¿Qué rol ha tenido el precio de la tierra urbana? ¿Qué rol han jugado las municipalidades vecinas? Para ubicar el tema se comienza, en la Sección II, con la evolución de la población de la provincia y su relación con la población total del país. La Sección III se destina a analizar la evolución intermunicipal a lo largo del tiempo. En la Sección IV se estudian preliminarmente los determinantes de la dinámica poblacional intermunicipal y en la Sección V se presentan en forma estilizada las tres etapas de la evolución. En la Sección VI se concluye.

Suggested Citation

  • Alberto Porto, 2023. "Dinámica de la población de las municipalidades de la provincia de Buenos Aires 1869-2022," CEFIP, Working Papers 046, CEFIP, Universidad Nacional de La Plata.
    • Handle: RePEc:akh:wcefip:046
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H7 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations
    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • N3 - Economic History - - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy
    • R0 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General

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