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Exchange Rate Volatility in BRICS Countries

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  • Maradiaga, David Isaias
  • Zapata, Hector O.
  • Pujula, Aude Liliana

Abstract

This paper measures the impact of bilateral exchange rates, the world agricultural GDP and third-country exchange rate volatilities (Yen/USD and Euro/USD) on the BRICS agricultural exports using a vector autoregressive (VAR) model. Two measures of volatility are used: the standard deviation and the coefficient of variation of the rates of change of the real exchange rates. We found that most variables are integrated of order two except the third-country exchange rate volatilities which are stationary and thus considered as exogenous in the VAR models. The causality between I(2) variables was tested using the modified Wald test introduced by Toda and Yamamoto (1995). We found that both volatilities (Yen/USD and Euro/USD) Granger cause Brazilian agricultural exports and that the Yen/USD causes Chinese agricultural exports.

Suggested Citation

  • Maradiaga, David Isaias & Zapata, Hector O. & Pujula, Aude Liliana, 2012. "Exchange Rate Volatility in BRICS Countries," 2012 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2012, Birmingham, Alabama 119726, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:saea12:119726
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.119726
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Izunna Chima Anyikwa & Lehlohonolo Domela, 2022. "Asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on trade flows in BRICS economies," Studies in Economics and Econometrics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(3), pages 224-247, July.
    2. Ifedolapo Olabisi Olanipekun & Hasan Güngör & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams, 2019. "Unraveling the Causal Relationship Between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Exchange Market Pressure in BRIC Countries: Evidence From Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality," SAGE Open, , vol. 9(2), pages 21582440198, June.

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