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Grain Sorghum International Trade: U.S.-Mexico Simulation and Estimation Model

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  • Liu, Bing
  • Malaga, Jaime E.

Abstract

An econometric international supply/demand/trade simulation and forecast sorghum model in a partial equilibrium framework is built in this research paper to quantify the effects of key exogenous variables on the U.S.-Mexico sorghum trade. A forecast baseline is also established by using the validated model and values of exogenous variables provided by FAPRI to project the level of endogenous variables over the period of 2009 to 2017. Impacts of plausible alternative scenarios for key exogenous variables are simulated from 2009 to 2017.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Bing & Malaga, Jaime E., 2010. "Grain Sorghum International Trade: U.S.-Mexico Simulation and Estimation Model," 2010 Annual Meeting, February 6-9, 2010, Orlando, Florida 56434, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:saea10:56434
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.56434
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Duch-Carvallo, Teresa & Malaga, Jaime E., 2009. "International sorghum trade: United States beyond the Mexican dependency?," 2009 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2009, Atlanta, Georgia 46862, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sabala, Ethan & Devadoss, Stephen, 2021. "Analysis of Chinese Tariff on Sorghum Market under Varying Market Structures," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 47(1), January.

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      International Relations/Trade;

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