IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/pugtwp/332983.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Using Input-output Links to Measure the Potential for Service-Led Development in Formerly Transition Economies

Author

Listed:
  • Mercer-Blackman, Valerie
  • Mariasingham, Joseph
  • Garay, Krizia

Abstract

Many countries of the Former Soviet Union have not diversified their economies according to traditional indicators, leading policy analysts to suggest that the objective should be to increase the share of manufacturing employment in the economy to levels similar to East Asian countries. This paper uses input-output analysis to develop a better measure of diversification that accounts for global production links and suggests that the key to development for these primary product exporting economies is business and professional services, even if they are not directly exported. The paper also looks at measures of comparative advantage and diversification and explains why worries of premature deindustrialization are unwarranted if value-added contribution is properly measured.

Suggested Citation

  • Mercer-Blackman, Valerie & Mariasingham, Joseph & Garay, Krizia, 2018. "Using Input-output Links to Measure the Potential for Service-Led Development in Formerly Transition Economies," Conference papers 332983, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332983
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/332983/files/9655.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dale W. Jorgenson & Marcel P. Timmer, 2011. "Structural Change in Advanced Nations: A New Set of Stylised Facts," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 113(1), pages 1-29, March.
    2. Robert C. Feenstra & Robert Inklaar & Marcel P. Timmer, 2015. "The Next Generation of the Penn World Table," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(10), pages 3150-3182, October.
    3. Szirmai, Adam & Verspagen, Bart, 2015. "Manufacturing and economic growth in developing countries, 1950–2005," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 46-59.
    4. Peneder, Michael, 2003. "Industrial structure and aggregate growth," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 427-448, December.
    5. Leif van Neuss, 2019. "The Drivers Of Structural Change," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(1), pages 309-349, February.
    6. Fadinger, Harald & Ghiglino, Christian & Teteryatnikova, Mariya, 2015. "Income differences and input-output structure," Working Papers 15-11, University of Mannheim, Department of Economics.
    7. Matthieu Crozet & Emmanuel Milet, 2017. "Should everybody be in services? The effect of servitization on manufacturing firm performance," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 820-841, December.
    8. Doytch, Nadia & Uctum, Merih, 2011. "Does the worldwide shift of FDI from manufacturing to services accelerate economic growth? A GMM estimation study," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 410-427, April.
    9. Ricardo Hausmann & César Hidalgo, 2011. "The network structure of economic output," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 309-342, December.
    10. Zhi Wang & Shang-Jin Wei & Kunfu Zhu, 2013. "Quantifying International Production Sharing at the Bilateral and Sector Levels," NBER Working Papers 19677, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Dominick Bartelme & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015. "Linkages and Economic Development," NBER Working Papers 21251, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Marconi, Nelson & Reis, Cristina Fróes de Borja & Araújo, Eliane Cristina de, 2016. "Manufacturing and economic development: The actuality of Kaldor's first and second laws," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 75-89.
    13. Gabriel, Luciano Ferreira & de Santana Ribeiro, Luiz Carlos, 2019. "Economic growth and manufacturing: An analysis using Panel VAR and intersectoral linkages," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 43-61.
    14. Ivailo Izvorski & Indermit S. Gill & Willem van Eeghen & Donato De Rosa & Ivailo Izvorski, 2014. "Diversified Development : Making the Most of Natural Resources in Eurasia," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 17193.
    15. Zhao, Jingfeng & Tang, Jianmin, 2018. "Industrial structure change and economic growth: A China-Russia comparison," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 219-233.
    16. Fadinger, Harald & Ghiglino, Christian & Teteryatnikova, Mariya, 2015. "Income differences and input-output structure," Working Papers 15-11, University of Mannheim, Department of Economics.
    17. Zhi Wang & Shang-Jin Wei & Xinding Yu & Kunfu Zhu, 2017. "Measures of Participation in Global Value Chains and Global Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 23222, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Haraguchi, Nobuya & Cheng, Charles Fang Chin & Smeets, Eveline, 2017. "The Importance of Manufacturing in Economic Development: Has This Changed?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 293-315.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Di Meglio, Gisela & Gallego, Jorge, 2022. "Disentangling services in developing regions: A test of Kaldor's first and second laws," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 221-229.
    2. Gloria, José & Miranda-Pinto, Jorge & Fleming-Muñoz, David, 2024. "Production network diversification and economic development," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 218(C), pages 281-295.
    3. Charles Shaaba Saba & Nicholas Ngepah, 2022. "ICT Diffusion, Industrialisation and Economic Growth Nexus: an International Cross-country Analysis," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(3), pages 2030-2069, September.
    4. Khan, Irfan & Hou, Fujun & Le, Hoang Phong & Ali, Syed Ahtsham, 2021. "Do natural resources, urbanization, and value-adding manufacturing affect environmental quality? Evidence from the top ten manufacturing countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    5. Jorge Miranda Pinto, 2021. "Production Network Structure, Service Share, and Aggregate Volatility," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 39, pages 146-173, January.
    6. Sophie Osotimehin & Latchezar Popov, 2018. "Misallocation and intersectoral linkages," 2018 Meeting Papers 561, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Sophie Osotimehin & Latchezar Popov, 2023. "Misallocation and Intersectoral linkages," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 51, pages 177-198, December.
    8. Alessandro Nuvolari & Emanuele Russo, 2019. "Technical progress and structural change: a long-term view," LEM Papers Series 2019/17, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    9. Coad, Alex & Vezzani, Antonio, 2019. "Three cheers for industry: Is manufacturing linked to R&D, exports, and productivity growth?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 14-25.
    10. Halkos, George & Moll de Alba, Jaime & Todorov, Valentin, 2021. "Analyzing manufacturing sector and selected development challenges: A panel data analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    11. Norbu, Nyingtob Pema & Tateno, Yusuke & Bolesta, Andrzej, 2021. "Structural transformation and production linkages in Asia-Pacific least developed countries: An input-output analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 510-524.
    12. Bokosi, Fanwell Kenala, 2022. "The Effects of Industrialisation on Economic Growth: Panel data evidence for SADC countries," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 10(3), June.
    13. Emre Özçelik & Erdal Özmen, 2020. "Premature Deindustrialisation: The International Evidence," ERC Working Papers 2001, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Sep 2020.
    14. Lo Turco, Alessia & Maggioni, Daniela & Zazzaro, Alberto, 2019. "Financial dependence and growth: The role of input-output linkages," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 308-328.
    15. Vasco M. Carvalho & Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi, 2019. "Production Networks: A Primer," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 11(1), pages 635-663, August.
    16. Huang, Wendi & Zhang, Weikang, 2024. "Exchange rate and corporate investment: Heterogeneous effects via the global value chain networks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    17. Su, Dan & Zhang, Lijun & Peng, Hua & Saeidi, Parvaneh & Tirkolaee, Erfan Babaee, 2023. "Technical challenges of blockchain technology for sustainable manufacturing paradigm in Industry 4.0 era using a fuzzy decision support system," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    18. Stefan Pahl & Marcel P. Timmer, 2020. "Do Global Value Chains Enhance Economic Upgrading? A Long View," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(9), pages 1683-1705, July.
    19. Consing III, Rafael Martin M. & Barsabal, Michael John M. & Alvarez, Julian Thomas B. & Mariasingham , Mahinthan J., 2020. "The Wellness Economy: A Comprehensive System of National Accounts Approach," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 631, Asian Development Bank.
    20. Lin, Boqiang & Zhou, Yicheng, 2021. "How does vertical fiscal imbalance affect the upgrading of industrial structure? Empirical evidence from China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agribusiness;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332983. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/gtpurus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.