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Climate Change and Agriculture in South Asia: Studying Optimal Trade Policy Options

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  • Laborde, David

Abstract

This paper aims to study how alternative trade policies will help mitigate the effects of climate change in agriculture in South Asia. We use a modified version of MIRAGE CGE for long term projections and allowing modeling of climate change effects (impact on yield) at a subregional level (163 geographical units at the world level) to simulate the effects of 13 SRES scenarios in 8 different trade policy landscapes. Based on these results, we discuss the ranking of trade policy options based on expected values but also in terms of variance using the theory of decision in uncertainty. Choices between unilateral and regional strategies are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Laborde, David, 2011. "Climate Change and Agriculture in South Asia: Studying Optimal Trade Policy Options," Conference papers 332050, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332050
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    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/332050/files/5423.pdf
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