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Projecting Livestock Numbers

Author

Listed:
  • Forbes, Rod
  • Gardiner, Peter

Abstract

The Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (MAF) undertakes forecasts and projections of livestock numbers as part of the twice yearly contribution to The Treasury’s economic and fiscal updates. MAF’s Pastoral Supply Response Model (PSRM) was recently re-developed and used for the first time in the Budget Economic and Fiscal Update round of 2004. The PSRM projects annual inventory numbers as at 30 June, births and livestock numbers for slaughter. The paper discusses the PSRM, the post-model adjustments process, and the feed through to a simplistic assessment of land use changes within pasture areas.

Suggested Citation

  • Forbes, Rod & Gardiner, Peter, 2004. "Projecting Livestock Numbers," 2004 Conference, June 25-26, 2004, Blenheim, New Zealand 97790, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:nzar04:97790
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.97790
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Narayan, Prakash & Dake, Chris K.G. & SriRamaratnam, S., 1993. "Determinants of Capital Investment in New Zealand Dairy Farming," 1993 Conference (37th), February 9-11, 1993, Sydney, Australia 147764, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    2. Pearse, Elaine & SriRamaratnam, Ram & Dake, Chris K.G., 1994. "Dynamics of Supply and Demand for the New Zealand Deer Industry," 1994 Conference (38th), February 8-10, 1994, Wellington, New Zealand 148670, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    3. SriRamaratnam, S. & Reynolds, Russell G., 1990. "The New Zealand Pastoral Sector Supply Responses," 1990 Conference (34th), February 13-15, 1990, Brisbane, Australia 145410, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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