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Growth and Instability in Agriculture - A case of maize production in India

Author

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  • Kiran, A.S. Shashi
  • Umesh, K.B.
  • Shankara, M.H.

Abstract

Maize (Zea mays L) is one of the most versatile emerging crops having wider adaptability. Globally, maize is known as queen of cereals. According to advance estimate it is cultivated in 8.49 m ha (2010-11) mainly during Kharif season. Forty five per cent of the total maize, produced in India is being used as human food and 52 per cent goes to feed industry. This study was an attempt to estimate the growth rate and to identify the sources of instability in maize production in India. The study is based on time-series data for 60 years (1950-51 to 2009-10) on area, production and productivity of maize in India. Exponential growth rate, Instability index and Hazel s decomposition analysis were used. The area under maize during the study period increased at significant growth rate of 1.17 per cent while production at growth rate of 3.08. The variation around the trend (instability index 14.65) and the variation around mean (CV 53.84 %) was more in case of production than in area and productivity. Increase in mean yield accounted for 61.42 per cent of the increase in production. Variance of production of maize was mainly due to factor other than area and producttivity. Acknowledgement : I dedicate this work to my parents Shri. Shivalingappa, A.N and Smt. Tharamathi, K.S. and my lovely wife Jayalakshmi, G.S. I also thank my sister Nandini, (brother-in-law) Kiran, Thanvitha, Kushal and all Kalmane family members. All VRS and GKVK friends for their lovely friendship, love, help and care and for enjoyable and memorable moments. I place on record with deep sense of gratitude to my esteemed guru Dr. K.B. Umesh, Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, U. A. S., Bangalore for all the efforts he took beyond the call of duty and constant encouragement.

Suggested Citation

  • Kiran, A.S. Shashi & Umesh, K.B. & Shankara, M.H., 2018. "Growth and Instability in Agriculture - A case of maize production in India," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277535, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:iaae18:277535
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.277535
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cuddy, John D A & Della Valle, P A, 1978. "Measuring the Instability of Time Series Data," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 40(1), pages 79-85, February.
    2. Anupama, J. & Singh, R.P. & Kumar, Ranjit, 2005. "Technical Efficiency in Maize Production in Madhya Pradesh: Estimation and Implications," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 18(2), July.
    3. Peter B. R. Hazell, 1984. "Sources of Increased Instability in Indian and U.S. Cereal Production," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 66(3), pages 302-311.
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