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The Socio-Economic Consequences Of The Impact Of Climate Change On Water Resources In South Africa

Author

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  • Juana, James S.
  • Strzepek, Kenneth M.
  • Kirsten, Johann F.

Abstract

Most of the climate change models for South Africa predict a reduction in freshwater availability by 2050, which implies that water availability for sectoral production activities is expected to decline. This decline has an impact on sectoral output, value added and households’ welfare. Using a computable general equilibrium approach, this study investigates the possible impact of global change on households’ welfare. The simulation results show that water scarcity due to global change can potentially lead to a general deterioration in households’ welfare. The poor households, whose incomes are adversely impacted, are the most vulnerable to the consequences of the impact of global change on water resources in South Africa. This vulnerability can only be reduced if welfare policies that maintain food consumption levels for the least and low-income households are implemented

Suggested Citation

  • Juana, James S. & Strzepek, Kenneth M. & Kirsten, Johann F., 2009. "The Socio-Economic Consequences Of The Impact Of Climate Change On Water Resources In South Africa," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 51927, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:iaae09:51927
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.51927
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    Cited by:

    1. Changbo Qin & Z.(Bob) Su & Hans Th.A. Bressers & Yangwen Jia & Hao Wang, 2013. "Assessing the economic impact of North China's water scarcity mitigation strategy: a multi-region, water-extended computable general equilibrium analysis," Water International, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(6), pages 701-723, October.

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