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Climate Change And Adaptive Strategies In Agriculture: Assessing The Impacts On Small Farmers In The Brazilian Sertão

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  • Gori Maia, Alexandre
  • Cesano, Daniele
  • Miyamoto, Bruno C.B.
  • Eusébio, Gabriela dos Santos
  • Andrade, Patricia

Abstract

The Brazilian Sertão is the most populous semiarid region in the world, and faces the highest rates of poverty and food insecurity in Brazil. Irregular rainfall and climate variability make these social constraints even more difficult to be solved in the short term, since basic economic activities in the region, as dairy farming and subsistence agriculture, tend to be mainly affected by recurrent and prolonged droughts. This study analyzes the impacts of climate conditions on the agricultural production and how adaptative strategies may alleviate such effects. First, it analyzes the dynamics of climate variables between 1974 and 2013 in the semi-arid region of the State of Bahia, the largest and most populous State of Sertão. Secondly, based on a panel with climatic and production data, it assesses the ex-poste impacts of these climate variables on the agricultural production of the municipalities in the region. Thirdly, it estimates the relation between several adaptive strategies and the agricultural family farmers’ production, based on microdata of the Brazilian Agricultural Census for small farmers in the region. The study evaluates four main agricultural productions: milk, cattle, goat, sheep and corn. The final and general aim of this study is to discuss the effectiveness of strategies for small farmers which would create climate resilience and attenuate the negative impacts of climate change on agricultural production of this vulnerable region.

Suggested Citation

  • Gori Maia, Alexandre & Cesano, Daniele & Miyamoto, Bruno C.B. & Eusébio, Gabriela dos Santos & Andrade, Patricia, 2016. "Climate Change And Adaptive Strategies In Agriculture: Assessing The Impacts On Small Farmers In The Brazilian Sertão," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236255, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea16:236255
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.236255
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Edson Paulo Domingues & Aline Souza Magalhães & Ricardo Machado Ruiz, 2008. "Cenários de mudanças climáticas e agricultura no Brasil: impactos econômicos na Região Nordeste," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG td340, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    2. Jennifer Burney & Daniele Cesano & Jarrod Russell & Emilio Rovere & Thais Corral & Nereide Coelho & Laise Santos, 2014. "Climate change adaptation strategies for smallholder farmers in the Brazilian Sertão," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 126(1), pages 45-59, September.
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    1. Maia, Alexandre Gori & Miyamoto, Bruno César Brito & Garcia, Junior Ruiz, 2018. "Climate Change and Agriculture: Do Environmental Preservation and Ecosystem Services Matter?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 27-39.

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    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; Environmental Economics and Policy; Production Economics;
    All these keywords.

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