Report NEP-FOR-2020-07-20

This is the archive for NEP-FOR, a report on new working papers in the area of Forecasting. Rob J Hyndman issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

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Other reports in NEP-FOR

The following items were announced in this report:

• Heinrich, Markus, 2020. "Does the Current State of the Business Cycle matter for Real-Time Forecasting? A Mixed-Frequency Threshold VAR approach," EconStor Preprints 219312, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
• William D. Larson & Tara M. Sinclair, 2020. "Nowcasting Unemployment Insurance Claims in the Time of COVID-19," Working Papers 2020-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Aug 2020.
• Hardik A. Marfatia & Christophe Andre & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Predicting Housing Market Sentiment: The Role of Financial, Macroeconomic and Real Estate Uncertainties," Working Papers 202061, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Almohaimeed, Bader & Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos, 2020. "Forecasting transaction counts with integer-valued GARCH models," MPRA Paper 101779, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Jul 2020.
• Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Almohaimeed, Bader & Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos, 2020. "Periodic autoregressive conditional duration," MPRA Paper 101696, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Jul 2020.
• Adrian, Tobias & Adams, Patrick & Boyarchenko, Nina & Giannone, Domenico, 2020. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Risks," CEPR Discussion Papers 14436, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Matteo Iacopini & Francesco Ravazzolo & Luca Rossini, 2020. "Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting," Papers 2006.11265, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
• Viral V. Acharya & Soumya Bhadury & Jay Surti, 2020. "Financial Vulnerability and Risks to Growth in Emerging Markets," NBER Working Papers 27411, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Sajjad Taghiyeh & David C Lengacher & Robert B Handfield, 2020. "Loss Rate Forecasting Framework Based on Macroeconomic Changes: Application to US Credit Card Industry," Papers 2006.07911, arXiv.org.
• Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik & Hoesch, Lukas, 2020. "Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 14456, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Tae-Hwy Lee & Millie Yi Mao & Aman Ullah, 2020. "Estimation of High-Dimensional Dynamic Conditional Precision Matrices with an Application to Forecast Combination," Working Papers 202012, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
• Payne, Jason Leslie & Morgan, Anthony, 2020. "Property Crime during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A comparison of recorded offence rates and dynamic forecasts (ARIMA) for March 2020 in Queensland, Australia," SocArXiv de9nc, Center for Open Science.
• Graziano Moramarco, 2020. "Measuring Global Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Working Papers wp1148, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.