Report NEP-FOR-2012-03-08

This is the archive for NEP-FOR, a report on new working papers in the area of Forecasting. Rob J Hyndman issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

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Other reports in NEP-FOR

The following items were announced in this report:

• Clements, Michael P, 2012. "Probability Distributions or Point Predictions? Survey Forecasts of US Output Growth and Inflation," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 976, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
• Ulrich Fritsche & Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Ruelke & Georg Stadtmann, 2012. "Forecasting the Euro: Do Forecasters Have an Asymmetric Loss Function?," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201201, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
• Antipin, Jan-Erik & Boumediene, Farid Jimmy & Österholm, Pär, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares," Working Papers 126, National Institute of Economic Research.
• Ubilava, David & Helmers, C Gustav, 2012. "Forecasting ENSO with a smooth transition autoregressive model," MPRA Paper 36890, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Ulrich Fritsche & Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Ruelke & Georg Stadtmann, 2012. "Forecasting the Brazilian Real and the Mexican Peso: Asymmetric Loss, Forecast Rationality, and Forecaster Herding," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201202, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
• Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & Maria del Carmen Ramos-Herrera, 2012. "On the forecast accuracy and consistency of exchange rate expectations: The Spanish PwC Survey," Working Papers 12-02, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales.
• Michael Wolf & Dan Wunderli, 2012. "Bootstrap joint prediction regions," ECON - Working Papers 064, Department of Economics - University of Zurich, revised May 2013.
• Claudia Godbout & Marco J. Lombardi, 2012. "Short-Term Forecasting of the Japanese Economy Using Factor Models," Staff Working Papers 12-7, Bank of Canada.
• Item repec:ehu:dfaeii:201201 is not listed on IDEAS anymore

• Maheu, John & Song, Yong, 2012. "A new structural break model with application to Canadian inflation forecasting," MPRA Paper 36870, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Banerjee, A. & Bystrov, V. & Mizen, P., 2012. "How do anticipated changes to short-term market rates influence banks' retail interest rates? Evidence from the four major euro area economies," Working papers 361, Banque de France.
• Ola L{o}vsletten & Martin Rypdal, 2012. "A multifractal approach towards inference in finance," Papers 1202.5376, arXiv.org.
• Sabiwalsky, Ralf, 2012. "Does Basel II pillar 3 risk exposure data help to identify risky banks?," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2012-008, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
• Katsuhiko Muramiya & Kazuhisa Otogawa, 2012. "How Do Investors Trade When Actual Earnings Are Reported with Management Forecasts?," Discussion Paper Series DP2012-06, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
• Tito Nícias Teixeira da Silva Filho, 2012. "Are Core Inflation Directional Forecasts Informative?," Working Papers Series 266, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
• Bec, F. & Bouabdallah, O. & Ferrara, L., 2012. "The European way out of recession," Working papers 360, Banque de France.