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Economic Policy Uncertainty and Short-term Reversals

In: Handbook of Investment Analysis, Portfolio Management, and Financial Derivatives In 4 Volumes

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  • Andy C.W. Chui

Abstract

This chapter finds that short-term reversals become more profound in the current month when economic policy uncertainty is larger in the prior month. There is evidence that the economic policy uncertainty influences return reversals through the liquidity channel. Short-term reversal profits are also positively related to the VIX index, the Baker–Wurgler (2007) investor sentiment index, and the Aruoba–Diebold–Scotti (2009) business conditions index in the prior month. Though, the predictability of the latter two indexes is less robust. However, adding these indexes and other variables does not weaken the relationship between economic policy uncertainty and return reversals.

Suggested Citation

  • Andy C.W. Chui, 2024. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Short-term Reversals," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Cheng Few Lee & Alice C Lee & John C Lee (ed.), Handbook of Investment Analysis, Portfolio Management, and Financial Derivatives In 4 Volumes, chapter 28, pages 923-949, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789811269943_0028
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    Keywords

    Financial Accounting; Financial Auditing; Mutual Funds; Hedge Funds; Asset Pricing; Options; Portfolio Analysis; Risk Management; Investment Analysis; Momentum Analysis; Behavior Analysis; Futures; Index Futures; CDCs; Financial Econometrics; Statistics; Financial Derivatives; Financial Accounting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting
    • M42 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Auditing
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

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