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Worldwide e-Commerce Development: After the COVID-19 and the Current Economic Crisis, Could We Expect a Catch-Up and Convergence Between Countries?

In: Service Challenges, Business Opportunities, and Regulatory Responses in the Postal Sector

Author

Listed:
  • Claire Borsenberger

    (Doctrine and Modelization Department; Direction of Regulation, Competition and Institutional Affairs—La Poste Groupe)

  • Sasha Cormier

    (University of Nancy and La Poste Groupe)

  • Anne Pratx

    (Direction of Regulation, Competition and Institutional Affairs—La Poste Groupe)

Abstract

Online shopping is a global trend, which has been exacerbated by the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. One may wonder if a convergence of e-commerce penetration rates between countries is likely to happen around the world or at least at a regional level. After a survey of the literature on e-commerce drivers, to contribute to answering those questions, we estimate several econometric models with the aim of explaining the variation in e-commerce penetration rates among a sample of developed and developing countries. Our results confirm the positive impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on e-commerce development. We show that some drivers are common to developed and developing countries, namely, gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, country coverage of telecommunication infrastructure, quality of postal infrastructure, and the share of women having access to Internet. Others are specific to a category of countries, including the degree of education of the population in developed countries or the age of the population in developing ones. We also find that cultural factors have a significant effect on e-commerce adoption, suggesting that a convergence of e-commerce penetration rate is unlikely to happen at the world level.

Suggested Citation

  • Claire Borsenberger & Sasha Cormier & Anne Pratx, 2024. "Worldwide e-Commerce Development: After the COVID-19 and the Current Economic Crisis, Could We Expect a Catch-Up and Convergence Between Countries?," Topics in Regulatory Economics and Policy, in: Pier Luigi Parcu & Timothy Brennan & Victor Glass (ed.), Service Challenges, Business Opportunities, and Regulatory Responses in the Postal Sector, pages 203-222, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:topchp:978-3-031-65599-9_14
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-65599-9_14
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