IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/h/spr/sprchp/978-981-15-0720-5_22.html
   My bibliography  Save this book chapter

Handling Uncertainty in Engineered Systems

In: Handbook of Systems Sciences

Author

Listed:
  • Azad M. Madni

    (University of Southern California)

  • A. Terry Bahill

    (University of Arizona)

Abstract

This chapter identifies essential activities in the tradeoff study process that are responsible for addressing uncertainty and describes how to handle these uncertainties. These activities all involve human decision-making, which is the source of common mistakes arising from confirmation bias, severity amplifiers, and framing. This chapter explains how these activities are affected by mental mistakes such as biases, simplifying heuristics, cognitive illusions, emotions, fallacies, and psychological traps. This chapter presents examples for handling uncertainty by managing mistakes caused by uncertainty in the problem statement, the evaluation criteria, and weights of importance. It also shows how certainty factors and sensitivity analyzes can help handle uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Azad M. Madni & A. Terry Bahill, 2021. "Handling Uncertainty in Engineered Systems," Springer Books, in: Gary S. Metcalf & Kyoichi Kijima & Hiroshi Deguchi (ed.), Handbook of Systems Sciences, chapter 41, pages 1167-1199, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-981-15-0720-5_22
    DOI: 10.1007/978-981-15-0720-5_22
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-981-15-0720-5_22. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.