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What’s behind “inflation perceptions”? A survey-based analysis of Italian consumers

In: The Euro, Inflation and Consumer’s Perceptions

Author

Listed:
  • Paolo Giovane

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Silvia Fabiani

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Roberto Sabbatini

    (Bank of Italy)

Abstract

A number of papers have investigated the possible explanations for the sharp rise recorded by inflation perceptions in the aftermath of the euro cash changeover. Del Giovane and Sabbatini (2006 and Chap. 1) examine this issue for the case of Italy, showing that the surge of perceptions can be mostly explained by the combination between the mechanisms underlying their formation and the observed behaviour of prices and other economic variables in the post-changeover period, together with exceptional media coverage of the issue and possibly inaccurate recall of past prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Paolo Giovane & Silvia Fabiani & Roberto Sabbatini, 2008. "What’s behind “inflation perceptions”? A survey-based analysis of Italian consumers," Springer Books, in: Paolo Giovane & Roberto Sabbatini (ed.), The Euro, Inflation and Consumer’s Perceptions, chapter 6, pages 157-197, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-540-78370-1_7
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-540-78370-1_7
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    Cited by:

    1. Lena Dräger, 2015. "Inflation perceptions and expectations in Sweden – Are media reports the missing link?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(5), pages 681-700, October.
    2. Allen N. Berger & Felix Irresberger & Raluca A. Roman, 2020. "Bank Size and Household Financial Sentiment: Surprising Evidence from University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(S1), pages 149-191, October.
    3. Reiche, Lovisa & Meyler, Aidan, 2022. "Making sense of consumer inflation expectations: the role of uncertainty," Working Paper Series 2642, European Central Bank.
    4. Ashima Goyal & Prashant Mehul Parab, 2019. "Modeling Consumers' Confidence and Inflation Expectations," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(3), pages 1817-1832.
    5. Easaw, Joshy & Golinelli, Roberto & Malgarini, Marco, 2013. "What determines households inflation expectations? Theory and evidence from a household survey," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-13.
    6. Lena Vogel & Jan-Oliver Menz & Ulrich Fritsche, 2009. "Prospect Theory and Inflation Perceptions - An Empirical Assessment," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200903, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    7. Cristina Conflitti & Roberta Zizza, 2018. "What�s behind firms� inflation forecasts?," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 465, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    8. Nikoleta Anesti & Vania Esady & Matthew Naylor, 2024. "Food prices matter most: Sensitive household inflation expectations," Discussion Papers 2434, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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