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The Nature of Randomness and the Element of Chance

In: The Economic Analysis of Random Events

Author

Listed:
  • Volkan Hacıoğlu

    (Istanbul University)

Abstract

After the introductory first chapter, the second chapter contains the discussion of the concept of randomness in relation to the element of chance with reference to the Commonplace Thesis. Subjective and objective probabilities are viewed from the perspective of modern approaches. The debate between the Frequentist and Bayesian approaches are also discussed. The Compensated Bayes’ rule function is introduced as a dynamic interpretation of classical Bayes’ rule. The facts and artifacts of scientific reality from personal beliefs to chance situations are investigated. Principles of chance are examined as they constitute building blocks for understanding the nature of randomness. The chapter is concluded with the epistemological demarcation between personal beliefs, knowledge and reality.

Suggested Citation

  • Volkan Hacıoğlu, 2024. "The Nature of Randomness and the Element of Chance," Springer Books, in: The Economic Analysis of Random Events, chapter 0, pages 5-21, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-031-53078-4_2
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-53078-4_2
    as

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