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Demonstrations, Grievance, and Civil Conflict

In: Identifying the Complex Causes of Civil War

Author

Listed:
  • Atin Basuchoudhary

    (Virginia Military Institute)

  • James T. Bang

    (Saint Ambrose University)

  • John David

    (Virginia Military Institute)

  • Tinni Sen

    (Virginia Military Institute)

Abstract

In this chapter, we show that Empirically Informed Covariate Selection can inform future directions of research. Specifically, we have identified how the search for alternate treatments tells us about the possible causes of demonstrations. We find that civil conflict may be part of a continuum of political contention, suggesting that grievance remains a contender as a cause for conflict. Last, as part of a trend with previous chapters, we show that the relative accuracy of different algorithms matters. The less accurate LOGIT, for example, posits a very different causal relationship between demonstrations and civil war than BART. This difference may be why the literature on civil war has not pursued grievance as a cause of conflict.

Suggested Citation

  • Atin Basuchoudhary & James T. Bang & John David & Tinni Sen, 2021. "Demonstrations, Grievance, and Civil Conflict," Springer Books, in: Identifying the Complex Causes of Civil War, chapter 0, pages 89-99, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-030-81993-4_7
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-81993-4_7
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