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Modelling Health Transitions in Italy: A Generalized Linear Model with Disability Duration

In: Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance

Author

Listed:
  • Susanna Levantesi

    (Sapienza University of Rome)

  • Massimiliano Menzietti

    (University of Calabria)

Abstract

Italy is characterized by a population aging produced by both life expectancy increases and fertility rates reduction, as a consequence the social security system is exposed to an increasing disability risk. The Italian National Institute of Social Security (INPS) protects workers through two economic benefits, invalidity benefits (provided to workers whose working capacity is reduced by at least a third) and disability benefits (provided to workers who are completely and permanently unable to return to any working activity). The aim of this paper is modeling health transitions in a multi-state Markov model, developing a Generalized Linear Model including age effects, duration effects and age-duration interaction as covariates explaining health transitions.

Suggested Citation

  • Susanna Levantesi & Massimiliano Menzietti, 2021. "Modelling Health Transitions in Italy: A Generalized Linear Model with Disability Duration," Springer Books, in: Marco Corazza & Manfred Gilli & Cira Perna & Claudio Pizzi & Marilena Sibillo (ed.), Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance, pages 307-313, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-030-78965-7_45
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-78965-7_45
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