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Public News Flows and Chinese Renminbi: A Volatility Regime-Switching Analysis

In: A New Paradigm for International Business

Author

Listed:
  • Kin-Yip Ho

    (The Australian National University)

  • Yanlin Shi

    (The Australian National University)

  • Zhaoyong Zhang

    (Edith Cowan University)

Abstract

In recent years the Chinese foreign exchange rate policy and the internationalization of Chinese renminbi (RMB) have been hotly debated both in the academic world and in practice as the growing weight of China’s foreign trade and investment flows in the world economy. Most of the existing studies tend to review the process and impact of the RMB internationalization issues. The great interest of RMB internationalization is probably with financial institutions doing international business in the currency and also the Chinese firms conducting international business. This paper examines the impact of public information flows on the volatility of the Chinese RMB spot and non-deliverable forward (NDF) exchange rates using a regime-switching framework. Two major types of news items – articles that report on the RMB and those that report on the US dollar (USD) – are used to measure information flows. The results indicate that the impact of news flows is more significant in the calm (low volatility) regime rather than in the turbulent (high volatility) regime. These findings have important implications for policy-makers in both the public and private sectors and for business firms who wish to hedge their exposures.

Suggested Citation

  • Kin-Yip Ho & Yanlin Shi & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2015. "Public News Flows and Chinese Renminbi: A Volatility Regime-Switching Analysis," Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics, in: Hadrian Geri Djajadikerta & Zhaoyong Zhang (ed.), A New Paradigm for International Business, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 113-127, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:prbchp:978-981-287-499-3_6
    DOI: 10.1007/978-981-287-499-3_6
    as

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