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Climate Change and Conflict

In: Competition and Conflicts on Resource Use

Author

Listed:
  • Ragnhild Nordås

    (Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO))

  • Nils Petter Gleditsch

    (Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO))

Abstract

While it has been forcefully argued that the world is generally becoming more peaceful (e.g. Gleditsch 2008; Pinker 2011), the debate on climate change raises the specter of a new source of instability and conflict. In this field, the policy debate has been running well ahead of its academic foundation—and sometimes even contrary to the best evidence. A small but important literature of systematic research on possible security implications of climate change is now emerging. To date, however, the studies are inconclusive, often finding no or low predicted effect of climate change. The scenarios summarized by the Inter-Governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2001, 2007, and 2014 are much less certain in terms of the social implications of climate change than in their conclusions about the physical implications. In addition, the few statements on the security implications found in these IPCC reports are largely based on sources of uncertain academic credit and relevance.

Suggested Citation

  • Ragnhild Nordås & Nils Petter Gleditsch, 2015. "Climate Change and Conflict," Natural Resource Management and Policy, in: Susanne Hartard & Wolfgang Liebert (ed.), Competition and Conflicts on Resource Use, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 21-38, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nrmchp:978-3-319-10954-1_3
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-10954-1_3
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ujjal Kumar Mukherjee & Benjamin E. Bagozzi & Snigdhansu Chatterjee, 2023. "A Bayesian framework for studying climate anomalies and social conflicts," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), March.
    2. Ruxandra Malina Petrescu-Mag & Philippe Burny & Ioan Banatean-Dunea & Dacinia Crina Petrescu, 2022. "How Climate Change Science Is Reflected in People’s Minds. A Cross-Country Study on People’s Perceptions of Climate Change," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(7), pages 1-25, April.
    3. Jona Huber & Ignacio Madurga-Lopez & Una Murray & Peter C. McKeown & Grazia Pacillo & Peter Laderach & Charles Spillane, 2023. "Climate-related migration and the climate-security-migration nexus in the Central American Dry Corridor," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(6), pages 1-22, June.
    4. Kate Burrows & Patrick L. Kinney, 2016. "Exploring the Climate Change, Migration and Conflict Nexus," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-17, April.

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