IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/h/spr/lnopch/978-981-99-3626-7_50.html
   My bibliography  Save this book chapter

Evolution Analysis Model and Catastrophe Theory Explanation of Shrinking Cities

In: Proceedings of the 27th International Symposium on Advancement of Construction Management and Real Estate

Author

Listed:
  • Xiaoteng Ma

    (Central University of Finance and Economics
    Central University of Finance and Economics)

  • Donghan Meng

    (Central University of Finance and Economics
    Central University of Finance and Economics)

  • Guijun Li

    (Central University of Finance and Economics
    Hebei University of Economics and Business)

Abstract

With the tremendous changes in the domestic and international environment, the phenomenon of shrinking cities in China has gradually attracted attention. This paper mainly analyzes the law of shrinking cities based on catastrophe theory and system dynamic feedback theory, constructs a research model of shrinking cities to deduce its future development trends based on the ten-year historical development trajectory of shrinking cities. Taking two Chinese shrinking cities as examples, the general laws are deduced from three aspects: manifestation, motivation mechanism and evolution mechanism. The form of urban contraction in China is that the economy shrinks first, then the population shrinks, and finally falls into a vicious circle of low efficiency locking. The main reasons for urban shrinkage are single industrial structure, aging economic structure and blind deindustrialization. China’s shrinking cities are facing long-term, irreversible shrinkage.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaoteng Ma & Donghan Meng & Guijun Li, 2023. "Evolution Analysis Model and Catastrophe Theory Explanation of Shrinking Cities," Lecture Notes in Operations Research, in: Jing Li & Weisheng Lu & Yi Peng & Hongping Yuan & Daikun Wang (ed.), Proceedings of the 27th International Symposium on Advancement of Construction Management and Real Estate, pages 649-668, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:lnopch:978-981-99-3626-7_50
    DOI: 10.1007/978-981-99-3626-7_50
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:lnopch:978-981-99-3626-7_50. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.