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Research on the Carbon Emission Prediction of Chongqing Transportation Industry Based on Scenario Analysis

In: Proceedings of the 27th International Symposium on Advancement of Construction Management and Real Estate

Author

Listed:
  • Ying Liu

    (Chongqing Jiaotong University)

  • Liudan Jiao

    (Chongqing Jiaotong University)

  • Ya Wu

    (Southwest University)

  • Liu Wu

    (Chongqing Jiaotong University)

Abstract

The “double carbon” target reflects the new goals and requirements of China entering a new stage of development. In order to achieve the goal of Chongqing’s carbon peak, it is a timely and urgent problem to analyze the carbon emission level of Chongqing’s transportation industry. Based on the data on per capita GDP, passenger transport turnover, freight transport turnover, energy intensity, urbanization rate, private car ownership, and energy structure of Chongqing from 2000 to 2020, this paper applies the extended SRTIRPAT model to predict the carbon emissions of Chongqing’s transportation industry from 2021 to 2035 with different scenarios. Finally, this paper puts forward some appropriate suggestions based on the prediction results.

Suggested Citation

  • Ying Liu & Liudan Jiao & Ya Wu & Liu Wu, 2023. "Research on the Carbon Emission Prediction of Chongqing Transportation Industry Based on Scenario Analysis," Lecture Notes in Operations Research, in: Jing Li & Weisheng Lu & Yi Peng & Hongping Yuan & Daikun Wang (ed.), Proceedings of the 27th International Symposium on Advancement of Construction Management and Real Estate, pages 1522-1537, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:lnopch:978-981-99-3626-7_117
    DOI: 10.1007/978-981-99-3626-7_117
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