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Prediction of Gasoline Octane Loss Based on t-SNE and Random Forest

In: AI and Analytics for Smart Cities and Service Systems

Author

Listed:
  • Chen Zheng

    (Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics)

  • Shan Li

    (Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics)

  • Chengcheng Song

    (Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics)

  • Siyu Yang

    (Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics)

Abstract

Octane loss is an important index to measure economic benefit in the process of gasoline refining. Therefore, it is of great significance to construct the prediction model of octane loss in industrial production. In view of the characteristics of numerous variables and complex relationship of variables in gasoline refining data, t-SNE and K-Means algorithms are used in this paper to do data reduction and clustering analysis, and then collinear matrix method is used to gradually select the input variables for model construction, and finally random forest regression algorithm is introduced to build the prediction model of octane loss. The experimental results show that compared with the traditional prediction model, the prediction accuracy of the random forest is significantly improved, and the weight value of each variable of the model can be obtained by means of information gain, which provides a reference for the control variable level in the workshop production process.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen Zheng & Shan Li & Chengcheng Song & Siyu Yang, 2021. "Prediction of Gasoline Octane Loss Based on t-SNE and Random Forest," Lecture Notes in Operations Research, in: Robin Qiu & Kelly Lyons & Weiwei Chen (ed.), AI and Analytics for Smart Cities and Service Systems, pages 43-54, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:lnopch:978-3-030-90275-9_4
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-90275-9_4
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