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Systemic Risk and Security Management

In: Managing Safety of Heterogeneous Systems

Author

Listed:
  • Yuri Ermoliev

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)

  • Detlof Winterfeldt

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to develop a decision-theoretic approach to security management of uncertain multi-agent systems. Security is defined as the ability to deal with intentional and unintentional threats generated by agents. The main concern of the paper is the protection of public goods from these threats allowing explicit treatment of inherent uncertainties and robust security management solutions. The paper shows that robust solutions can be properly designed by new stochastic optimization tools applicable for multicriteria problems with uncertain probability distributions and multivariate extreme events.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuri Ermoliev & Detlof Winterfeldt, 2012. "Systemic Risk and Security Management," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, in: Yuri Ermoliev & Marek Makowski & Kurt Marti (ed.), Managing Safety of Heterogeneous Systems, edition 127, pages 19-49, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:lnechp:978-3-642-22884-1_2
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-22884-1_2
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Tatiana Ermolieva & Petr Havlik & Stefan Frank & Taher Kahil & Juraj Balkovic & Rastislav Skalsky & Yuri Ermoliev & Pavel S. Knopov & Olena M. Borodina & Vasyl M. Gorbachuk, 2022. "A Risk-Informed Decision-Making Framework for Climate Change Adaptation through Robust Land Use and Irrigation Planning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-14, January.
    2. T. Ermolieva & Y. Ermoliev & M. Jonas & M. Obersteiner & F. Wagner & W. Winiwarter, 2014. "Uncertainty, cost-effectiveness and environmental safety of robust carbon trading: integrated approach," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 124(3), pages 633-646, June.
    3. Tatiana Ermolieva & Petr Havlik & Yuri Ermoliev & Nikolay Khabarov & Michael Obersteiner, 2021. "Robust Management of Systemic Risks and Food-Water-Energy-Environmental Security: Two-Stage Strategic-Adaptive GLOBIOM Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-16, January.

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