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Introduction

In: The Yield Curve and Financial Risk Premia

Author

Listed:
  • Felix Geiger

    (University of Hohenheim)

Abstract

One striking feature since the 1980s has been an observed trend decline in macroeconomic volatility for most industrialized countries. Standard deviations of output and inflation have significantly fallen with the timing of occurrence varying across countries. However, the phenomenon has been so pronounced that it has been labeled the “Great Moderation” (Blanchard and Simon, 2001; Bernanke, 2004c). Apart from the “good luck” hypothesis, the “good policy” approach, with an improved performance of macroeconomic policy, has been promoted as a major contributor to increased economic stability. This stylized fact has been accompanied by central banks becoming more independent and more transparent using the channel of communication and adopting some variants of the inflation targeting framework. The argument relies on the proposition that the commitment to deliver price stability in the medium term has promoted an environment of increased predictability of monetary policy thereby reducing overall macroeconomic uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Felix Geiger, 2011. "Introduction," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, in: The Yield Curve and Financial Risk Premia, chapter 0, pages 1-6, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:lnechp:978-3-642-21575-9_1
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-21575-9_1
    as

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