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The Forgotten Effects Model on Selection Policies to Climate Change Adaptation

In: Decision Making and Knowledge Decision Support Systems

Author

Listed:
  • Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente

    (University of Barcelona)

  • Jaime Alexander López-Guauque

    (University of Barcelona)

Abstract

The impacts of climate change have become a growing question for the various players in the field. Adapting to such impacts is seen as an uncertain and complex phenomenon the more one gets involved in each of the key processes. Therefore, the degree of involvement or impact will have a larger or lesser effect, on an uncertain scale, in a given a period of time, and under homogenous conditions. Several elements of success in the decision-making are analyzed and discussed. Such elements, with different weightings, are implicit in the decision-making processes. From the forgotten effects theory, we can establish the accumulated effects of first and second generation in order to determine multiplier or enhancer effects—where our efforts will be focused. This will allow a longer scope for decisions to be made and strategies to be formulated as well as for the valuation of various groups and scales in which adaptations will be evaluated.

Suggested Citation

  • Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente & Jaime Alexander López-Guauque, 2015. "The Forgotten Effects Model on Selection Policies to Climate Change Adaptation," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, in: Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente & Constantin Zopounidis (ed.), Decision Making and Knowledge Decision Support Systems, edition 127, pages 67-78, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:lnechp:978-3-319-03907-7_8
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-03907-7_8
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