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The Near-Miss Bias

In: Behavioral Decision Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Florian M. Federspiel

    (INCAE Business School)

  • Robin Dillon-Merrill

    (McDonough School of Business, Georgetown University)

  • Matthias Seifert

    (Operations and Technology, IE Business School, IE University)

  • Sofía Rodriguez

    (INCAE Business School)

Abstract

Near-miss events are a topic of increasing interest, motivated by a growing body of literature showing that these events are often not perceived as a sign of warning, but may lead to unwarranted increases in risk taking behavior in similar future situations. However, still fairly little is known about the bias and its behavioral underpinnings. What defines a near-miss event and how does it influence risk taking behavior? What triggers the near-miss bias, and under which conditions does it manifest itself? And what kind of decision support can be provided to counteract the bias?

Suggested Citation

  • Florian M. Federspiel & Robin Dillon-Merrill & Matthias Seifert & Sofía Rodriguez, 2024. "The Near-Miss Bias," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Florian M. Federspiel & Gilberto Montibeller & Matthias Seifert (ed.), Behavioral Decision Analysis, pages 213-229, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:isochp:978-3-031-44424-1_11
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-44424-1_11
    as

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