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Simulating Vulnerability in Victoria’s Fruit and Vegetable Supply Chain

In: Handbook of Operations Research in Agriculture and the Agri-Food Industry

Author

Listed:
  • Leorey Marquez

    (CSIRO Mathematics, Informatics and Statistics)

  • Andrew Higgins

    (CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences)

  • Silvia Estrada-Flores

    (Food Chain Intelligence)

Abstract

The horticulture industry in Australia, valued at $3.6 billion per annum, is cyclically subjected to extreme weather events (EWE) that impact on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and fuel costs. These EWE threaten the viability of the industry, and a better understanding of these factors is required to improve the industry’s response to these vulnerabilities. This chapter describes the Supply Chain Database Tool (SCDT), a deterministic model that maps distances, GHG emissions, and other parameters during transport and distribution of fruits and vegetables for consumption in Victoria. The model enabled the calculation of relative measures of GHG emissions for a base (business-as-usual) scenario and for EWE scenarios that simulated the effect of catastrophic flooding in northern Victoria in 2011. The model calculated the net increase/decrease of GHG emissions, as a result of switching suppliers from affected areas to suppliers in non-affected areas to meet demand. We highlight opportunities for the SCDT to be used in conjunction with mathematical programming to improve the supply chain resilience to EWE.

Suggested Citation

  • Leorey Marquez & Andrew Higgins & Silvia Estrada-Flores, 2015. "Simulating Vulnerability in Victoria’s Fruit and Vegetable Supply Chain," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Lluis M. Plà-Aragonés (ed.), Handbook of Operations Research in Agriculture and the Agri-Food Industry, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 179-200, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:isochp:978-1-4939-2483-7_8
    DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4939-2483-7_8
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