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Forecasting Grape Maturation Under Heat Stress Using MatPred

In: Handbook of Operations Research in Agriculture and the Agri-Food Industry

Author

Listed:
  • Leorey Marquez

    (CSIRO Computational Informatics)

  • Geoff Robinson

    (CSIRO Mathematics, Informatics & Statistics)

  • Simon Dunstall

    (CSIRO Mathematics, Informatics & Statistics)

Abstract

Projected climatic changes in Australia for the next 50 years indicate a likely increase in the frequency, intensity, and duration of extreme weather events such as heatwaves. The wine and grape industry has intensified calls for more effective methods of managing viticulture activities before, during, and after these events in order to ensure the future viability of the industry. This paper presents MatPred, a maturation forecasting tool developed by CSIRO as part of the VitiForecaster package for grape intake logistics. The discussion details the extension of MatPred’s forecasting methodology to account for heat stress and describes the selection of a recommended regression model to forecast daily change in grape maturity.

Suggested Citation

  • Leorey Marquez & Geoff Robinson & Simon Dunstall, 2015. "Forecasting Grape Maturation Under Heat Stress Using MatPred," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Lluis M. Plà-Aragonés (ed.), Handbook of Operations Research in Agriculture and the Agri-Food Industry, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 277-306, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:isochp:978-1-4939-2483-7_13
    DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4939-2483-7_13
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