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Macroeconomic Impacts of Electricity Generation on Croatian Real GDP: Causality Analysis

In: Entrepreneurship, Business and Economics - Vol. 2

Author

Listed:
  • Pavle Jakovac

    (University of Rijeka)

  • Nela Vlahinic Lenz

    (University of Rijeka)

  • Sasa Zikovic

    (University of Rijeka)

Abstract

This paper examines the causal relationship between electricity generation and economic growth in Croatia using data for the period 1966–2010. The analyzed time span includes the periods of both the socialist and market based economy. Based on a detailed review of previous empirical studies it is possible to conclude that this issue has not been systematically explored and analyzed using Croatia as an example. In our analysis, we use a multivariate model (a conventional multifactor neoclassical aggregate production function) of real GDP and electricity generation together with capital stock, employment and technological progress. In order to get robust results this paper applies the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration procedure with a time break as an appropriate quantitative method when analyzing small samples. The empirical results provide clear support of a unidirectional causality that runs from electricity generation to real GDP in both short- and long-term. Electricity generation has a positive and statistically significant impact on Croatian real GDP. This means that stable, adequate and uninterrupted electricity supply is one of the crucial determinants of Croatia’s economic growth. Croatia should adopt a more vigorous economic policy that should aim to increase investments in the electricity infrastructure.

Suggested Citation

  • Pavle Jakovac & Nela Vlahinic Lenz & Sasa Zikovic, 2016. "Macroeconomic Impacts of Electricity Generation on Croatian Real GDP: Causality Analysis," Eurasian Studies in Business and Economics, in: Mehmet Huseyin Bilgin & Hakan Danis (ed.), Entrepreneurship, Business and Economics - Vol. 2, edition 1, pages 209-230, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:eurchp:978-3-319-27573-4_14
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-27573-4_14
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    Cited by:

    1. Koščak Kolin, Sonja & Karasalihović Sedlar, Daria & Kurevija, Tomislav, 2021. "Relationship between electricity and economic growth for long-term periods: New possibilities for energy prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).

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