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Forecasting and Low Frequency Movements of Asset Returns

In: Sustainable Asset Accumulation and Dynamic Portfolio Decisions

Author

Listed:
  • Carl Chiarella

    (University of Technology)

  • Willi Semmler

    (New School for Social Research
    Bielefeld University)

  • Chih-Ying Hsiao

    (University of Technology)

  • Lebogang Mateane

    (New School for Social Research)

Abstract

In this chapter we provide an overview on forecasting asset returns and low frequency movements in asset returns. Saving and asset allocation decision, usually focus on low frequency movements in asset returns and how they are expected to behave in the future. Thus, the prevailing consensus in the context of portfolio theory, is of the view that the estimates of the mean, variance and covariance should be forward looking rather than purely historically.

Suggested Citation

  • Carl Chiarella & Willi Semmler & Chih-Ying Hsiao & Lebogang Mateane, 2016. "Forecasting and Low Frequency Movements of Asset Returns," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Sustainable Asset Accumulation and Dynamic Portfolio Decisions, chapter 0, pages 9-17, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:dymchp:978-3-662-49229-1_2
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-662-49229-1_2
    as

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