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Boiling Hot! Economy-Wide Impacts of Climate Change on Colombian Coffee Yields

In: The Colombian Economy and Its Regional Structural Challenges

Author

Listed:
  • Pedro Levy Sayon

    (University of São Paulo)

  • Andrea Otero-Cortés

    (Banco de la República)

  • Federico Ceballos-Sierra

    (International Center for Tropical Agriculture)

  • Eduardo A. Haddad

    (University of São Paulo)

Abstract

This chapter quantifies the effects of climate shocks on coffee yields within the ICGE framework. Although macro-results tend to be relatively small, they are very heterogeneous among sectors and regions. Even though the climate shock initially affects areas where coffee is grown, the most positively affected sector in the new equilibrium is coffee processing due to its interindustry chaining in the Colombian. Elevation plays a significant role in this simulation: Lower regions may become unsuitable for coffee, whereas Andean regions will potentially experience a sharp increase in productivity for this crop. The chapter concludes with a discussion of the implications of these results for current producing regions, especially in terms of their labor force.

Suggested Citation

  • Pedro Levy Sayon & Andrea Otero-Cortés & Federico Ceballos-Sierra & Eduardo A. Haddad, 2023. "Boiling Hot! Economy-Wide Impacts of Climate Change on Colombian Coffee Yields," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Eduardo A. Haddad & Jaime Bonet & Geoffrey J. D. Hewings (ed.), The Colombian Economy and Its Regional Structural Challenges, chapter 0, pages 361-382, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:adspcp:978-3-031-22653-3_13
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-22653-3_13
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