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Multiregional Disaster Impact Models: Recent Advances and Comparison of Outcomes

In: Advances in Spatial and Economic Modeling of Disaster Impacts

Author

Listed:
  • Elco Koks

    (University of Oxford
    Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

  • Raghav Pant

    (University of Oxford)

  • Trond Husby

    (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)

  • Johannes Többen

    (Norwegian University of Science and Technology)

  • Jan Oosterhaven

    (Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Groningen)

Abstract

This chapter provides an overview of several multiregional modelling approaches used for disaster impact analysis. The chapter specifically focuses on the multiregional supply-use model, the dynamic multiregional inoperability input-output model, the multiregional impact assessment model and the non-linear programming model. Whereas the first two approaches have been applied widely over the last years, the latter two are recently developed methods which aim to improve the estimation of a disruption in the economic system by, amongst others, allowing for a supply shock and spatial substitution effects. Our outcomes show significantly distinct results for the demand-driven multiregional supply-use model and the dynamic multiregional inoperability input-output model on the one hand, and for the non-linear programming model and the multiregional impact assessment model, on the other hand. Whereas for the former only negative impacts in all German regions and foreign countries are observed, the latter also shows positive impacts in several only indirectly impacted regions in addition to different negative impacts.

Suggested Citation

  • Elco Koks & Raghav Pant & Trond Husby & Johannes Többen & Jan Oosterhaven, 2019. "Multiregional Disaster Impact Models: Recent Advances and Comparison of Outcomes," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Yasuhide Okuyama & Adam Rose (ed.), Advances in Spatial and Economic Modeling of Disaster Impacts, chapter 0, pages 191-218, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:adspcp:978-3-030-16237-5_8
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-16237-5_8
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    Cited by:

    1. Severin Reissl & Alessandro Caiani & Francesco Lamperti & Mattia Guerini & Fabio Vanni & Giorgio Fagiolo & Tommaso Ferraresi & Leonardo Ghezzi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2022. "Assessing the Economic Impact of Lockdowns in Italy: A Computational Input–Output Approach [Nonlinear Production Networks with an Application to the Covid-19 Crisis]," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 31(2), pages 358-409.
    2. Severin Reissl & Alessandro Caiani & Francesco Lamperti & Tommaso Ferraresi & Leonardo Ghezzi, 2024. "A regional input-output model of the COVID-19 crisis in Italy: decomposing demand and supply factors," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 100-130, January.
    3. Rossella Bardazzi & Leonardo Ghezzi, 2022. "Large-scale multinational shocks and international trade: a non-zero-sum game," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(4), pages 383-409, October.
    4. Ortuzar, Iban & Serrano, Ana & Xabadia, Àngels, 2023. "Macroeconomic impacts of water allocation under droughts. Accounting for global supply chains in a multiregional context," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).

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