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Projecting International Trade to 2030

In: Agricultural Trade, Policy Reforms, and Global Food Security

Author

Listed:
  • Kym Anderson

    (University of Adelaide
    Australian National University)

Abstract

The world will be able to feed itself adequately in 2030, and at international food prices that in real terms are not greatly different that those just before the global financial crisis and food price spike period of 2008–12. Asia will continue to become more important in the global economy, and especially in markets for primary products. That opens opportunities for natural resource-rich economies to raise their own incomes by expanding their trade with Asia, and more so the faster Asia grows. But agricultural trade would grow less, as would global food security, the more agricultural protection rises in emerging economies in Asia and elsewhere. Unfortunately, regional trade agreements have not been any more able to free up food trade than has the WTO.

Suggested Citation

  • Kym Anderson, 2016. "Projecting International Trade to 2030," Palgrave Studies in Agricultural Economics and Food Policy, in: Agricultural Trade, Policy Reforms, and Global Food Security, chapter 0, pages 259-306, Palgrave Macmillan.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:psachp:978-1-137-46925-0_11
    DOI: 10.1057/978-1-137-46925-0_11
    as

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