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Is China Rising?

In: Global Giant

Author

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  • Alastair Iain Johnston

Abstract

Is China rising? How do we know? The vast majority of today’s commentary—in the United States and China, across the policy, pundit, and academic worlds—assumes that China is rising. But the vast majority also does not provide a clear definition of “rising,” or consistent indicators of what a rising state looks like. This chapter makes a simple but often overlooked point: whether China is rising—and at what speed—depends on one’s definition and indicators. Some suggest that China is rising rapidly, while others suggest that it is not—yet. While it may seem facile to contest the rise of China—few would argue that China is not somehow “bigger” today than yesterday—we believe that injecting a note of caution into the debate is worthwhile. The reason is that different perceptions and judgments about whether, how, and how fast China is rising have profound real-world implications.

Suggested Citation

  • Alastair Iain Johnston, 2009. "Is China Rising?," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Eva Paus & Penelope B. Prime & Jon Western (ed.), Global Giant, chapter 0, pages 237-259, Palgrave Macmillan.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-62268-5_12
    DOI: 10.1057/9780230622685_12
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