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Modelling Transnational Environmental Risks: Scenarios for Decision Support

In: Forecasting, Warning and Responding to Transnational Risks

Author

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  • Fabian Wagner

Abstract

Predicting the future has a long history. In European culture it can be traced back to prehistoric versions of astronomy, codified in Stonehenge and the Nebra Sky Disk. The notions of a well-ordered cosmos, of cyclical time, are intimately linked with the belief in a future that can be divined (Gould, 1987; Eliade, 1991).

Suggested Citation

  • Fabian Wagner, 2011. "Modelling Transnational Environmental Risks: Scenarios for Decision Support," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Chiara de Franco & Christoph O. Meyer (ed.), Forecasting, Warning and Responding to Transnational Risks, chapter 5, pages 65-84, Palgrave Macmillan.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-31691-1_5
    DOI: 10.1057/9780230316911_5
    as

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