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Planning for a Safer Future

In: Managing High-Stakes Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Mark Jablonowski

Abstract

Given the complexities of our existence, we cannot effectively achieve natural risk levels without some sort of deliberate forethought, or planning. That means setting goals, and identifying safe alternatives that can help us achieve these goals. Reliance on simple statistical approaches that attempt to adjust progress only when problems become apparent just doesn’t work for risks where the cost of mistakes can be enormous. This means that planning for safe progress needs to take into consideration both the uncertain nature of the risks we face and the fact that we don’t get a second chance to make the right decisions. This tricky balance challenges our ingenuity to the fullest. We need to identify and implement a process that fails safe with regard to existential risk. If progress cannot be made safely, we forestall further action until we figure out how it can.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark Jablonowski, 2009. "Planning for a Safer Future," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Managing High-Stakes Risk, chapter 5, pages 70-84, Palgrave Macmillan.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-25120-5_5
    DOI: 10.1057/9780230251205_5
    as

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