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Expanding teff production: Economywide analysis of growth and poverty impacts

In: The economics of teff: Exploring Ethiopia’s biggest cash crop

Author

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  • Benson, Todd
  • Legesse, Ermias Engida
  • Thurlow, James

Abstract

This chapter analyzes the economywide effects of significantly increasing the production of teff, wheat, and maize, both separately and jointly. Although our particular focus is on teff, maize and wheat are also considered closely in order to contrast the characteristics of teff and the other two cereals within the Ethiopian economy and for Ethiopian households. A detailed Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model of the Ethiopian economy is used for this analysis. The CGE model is linked to a household survey–based microsimulation module. This enables estimation of the impact on household poverty and calorie intake of the various production scenarios run through the model. The production increases simulated in the analysis are consistent with the targets set by the Ethiopian Agricultural Transformation Agency (ATA) through their Teff, Wheat, and Maize Initiatives that began in 2012 and 2013. Accordingly, the simulation results provide additional evidence for evaluating Ethiopia’s cereals investment plan and the design of broader agricultural development strategy.

Suggested Citation

  • Benson, Todd & Legesse, Ermias Engida & Thurlow, James, 2018. "Expanding teff production: Economywide analysis of growth and poverty impacts," IFPRI book chapters, in: The economics of teff: Exploring Ethiopia’s biggest cash crop, chapter 10, pages 232-262, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    • Handle: RePEc:fpr:ifpric:9780896292833_10
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    File URL: https://hdl.handle.net/10568/146915
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Channing Arndt & M. Azhar Hussain & E. Samuel Jones & Virgulino Nhate & Finn Tarp & James Thurlow, 2013. "Explaining the Evolution of Poverty: The Case of Mozambique," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 95(1), pages 206-206.
    2. Berhane, Guush & McBride, Linden & Hirfrfot, Kibrom Tafere & Tamru, Seneshaw, 2012. "Patterns in foodgrain consumption and calorie intake," IFPRI book chapters, in: Food and agriculture in Ethiopia: Progress and policy challenges, chapter 7, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    3. repec:fpr:ifprib:9780812245295 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Dorosh, Paul A. & Rashid, Shahidur, 2012. "Introduction [in Ethiopian Agriculture]," IFPRI book chapters, in: Food and agriculture in Ethiopia: Progress and policy challenges, chapter 1, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
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    Cited by:

    1. Yanghao Wang & Metin Çakır, 2021. "Welfare impacts of increasing teff prices on Ethiopian consumers," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 52(2), pages 195-213, March.

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