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Bankruptcy Risk Prediction in Assuring the Financial Performance of Romanian Industrial Companies

In: Contemporary Issues in Business Economics and Finance

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  • Olimpia Livia Preda Buzgurescu
  • Negru Elena

Abstract

Introduction– The Romanian industry was one of the most important traditional branches and in the context of the integration of the country into the European Union, the Romanian industry has made progress in the development of several types of industrial branches, attracting in this sector investors with foreign capital that have determined economic growth by branch having a major impact on the achievement of gross domestic product. The progress and sustainable development of a country is interdependent on both macroeconomic and microeconomic development, and the development of a branch of the economy leads to the creation of a stable environment for attracting new investors and implicitly to the upward evolution of the economy by branch. Purpose– This article identifies models of bankruptcy risk analysis that have as variables relevant performance indicators for examining the bankruptcy risk of Romanian industrial companies so that it is verified how predictable and significant it is to avoid their potential bankruptcy. Methodology –By using performance indicators such as liquidity, profitability and insolvency, the analysis aims to be a benchmark for the Romanian industrial companies’ research in terms of bankruptcy risk, but also the accuracy of the models chosen to diagnose a potential bankruptcy. Findings– There was highlighted a strong relationship between the economic and financial indicators and the Z score functions.

Suggested Citation

  • Olimpia Livia Preda Buzgurescu & Negru Elena, 2020. "Bankruptcy Risk Prediction in Assuring the Financial Performance of Romanian Industrial Companies," Contemporary Studies in Economic and Financial Analysis, in: Contemporary Issues in Business Economics and Finance, volume 104, pages 19-28, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:csefzz:s1569-375920200000104003
    DOI: 10.1108/S1569-375920200000104003
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Edward I. Altman & Rafał Sieradzki & Michał Thlon, 2023. "Assessing the impact of economic and financial shocks on SME credit quality: a scenario analysis," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 54(2), pages 89-128.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Risk; performance; bankruptcy; industry; indicators; Romanian companies; Bucharest Stock Exchange; case study; Altman model; Conan & Holder model; G23; O12; C12;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • O12 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General

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