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Improving Predictions of Technical Inefficiency

In: Essays in Honor of Subal Kumbhakar

Author

Listed:
  • Christine Amsler
  • Robert James
  • Artem Prokhorov
  • Peter Schmidt

Abstract

The traditional predictor of technical inefficiency proposed byJondrow, Lovell, Materov, and Schmidt (1982)is a conditional expectation. This chapter explores whether, and by how much, the predictor can be improved by using auxiliary information in the conditioning set. It considers two types of stochastic frontier models. The first type is a panel data model where composed errors from past and future time periods contain information about contemporaneous technical inefficiency. The second type is when the stochastic frontier model is augmented by input ratio equations in which allocative inefficiency is correlated with technical inefficiency. Compared to the standard kernel-smoothing estimator, a newer estimator based on a local linear random forest helps mitigate the curse of dimensionality when the conditioning set is large. Besides numerous simulations, there is an illustrative empirical example.

Suggested Citation

  • Christine Amsler & Robert James & Artem Prokhorov & Peter Schmidt, 2024. "Improving Predictions of Technical Inefficiency," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Subal Kumbhakar, volume 46, pages 309-328, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:aecozz:s0731-905320240000046011
    DOI: 10.1108/S0731-905320240000046011
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stochastic frontier analysis; inefficiency scores; copulas; local random forest; nonparametrics; machine learning; synthetic data; C14; C23; C53;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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