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Do football spectators like dynasties? Long-term uncertainty of outcome and stadium attendance

In: Outcome Uncertainty in Sporting Events

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  • Stefan Kesenne

Abstract

In this short chapter, I estimate the impact of between-season or long-term uncertainty of outcome (UO) on attendances based on a sample of 25 European top-division national championships. Attendances are measured by the average number of stadium spectators per game in the top division of the 2015–16 season. Long-term UO is approached by the number of teams that made it to the two top positions in the league over a period of 25 years. In estimating this effect, we controlled for population, size and welfare level of the country, as well as for the international success of the teams in the UEFA Champions League. The estimation results show a significant, and considerable, positive effect of long-term UO on attendances. Football supporters do not like dynasties that dominate the championships year after year.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Kesenne, 2020. "Do football spectators like dynasties? Long-term uncertainty of outcome and stadium attendance," Chapters, in: Plácido Rodríguez & Stefan Kesenne & Brad R. Humphreys (ed.), Outcome Uncertainty in Sporting Events, chapter 9, pages 135-140, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    • Handle: RePEc:elg:eechap:19526_9
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    Keywords

    Economics and Finance;

    Statistics

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