Barış Soybilgen
(Baris Soybilgen)
Personal Details
First Name: | Baris |
Middle Name: | |
Last Name: | Soybilgen |
Suffix: | |
RePEc Short-ID: | pso337 |
| |
http://www.soybilgen.com | |
Affiliation
(80%) İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi
İstanbul Bilgi Üniversitesi
İstanbul, Turkeyhttp://www.bilgi.edu.tr/tr/programlar-ve-okullar/lisans/iktisadi-ve-idari-bilimler-fakultesi/
RePEc:edi:deibitr (more details at EDIRC)
(20%) Finansal Uygulama ve Araştırma Merkezi
İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi
İstanbul Bilgi Üniversitesi
İstanbul, Turkeyhttps://cefis.bilgi.edu.tr/
RePEc:edi:cfbiltr (more details at EDIRC)
Research output
Jump to: Working papers ArticlesWorking papers
- Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2017.
"Nowcasting The New Turkish Gdp,"
Working Papers
1702, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.
- Barış Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2018. "Nowcasting the New Turkish GDP," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(2), pages 1083-1089.
- Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2016.
"An Evaluation Of Inflation Expectations In Turkey,"
Working Papers
1601, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.
- Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2017. "An evaluation of inflation expectations in Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 17(1), pages 1-31–38.
- Michele Modugno & Bariş Soybilgen & M. Ege Yazgan, 2016.
"Nowcasting Turkish GDP and News Decomposition,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2016-044, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Modugno, Michele & Soybilgen, Barış & Yazgan, Ege, 2016. "Nowcasting Turkish GDP and news decomposition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1369-1384.
- Mehmet Kerim Gokay & Zumrut Imamoglu & Baris Soybilgen, 2012. "Credit Crunch Or not? Case of Turkey during the Global Economic Crisis," Working Papers 006, Bahcesehir University, Betam.
Articles
- Barış Soybilgen & Huseyin Kaya & Dincer Dedeoglu, 2019. "Evaluating the effect of geopolitical risks on the growth rates of emerging countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(1), pages 717-725.
- Burak Alparslan Eroğlu & Barış Soybilgen, 2018. "On the Performance of Wavelet Based Unit Root Tests," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-22, August.
- Barış Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2018.
"Nowcasting the New Turkish GDP,"
Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(2), pages 1083-1089.
- Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2017. "Nowcasting The New Turkish Gdp," Working Papers 1702, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.
- Soybilgen, Barış & Yazgan, Ege, 2018. "Evaluating nowcasts of bridge equations with advanced combination schemes for the Turkish unemployment rate," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 99-108.
- Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2017.
"An evaluation of inflation expectations in Turkey,"
Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 17(1), pages 1-31–38.
- Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2016. "An Evaluation Of Inflation Expectations In Turkey," Working Papers 1601, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.
- Modugno, Michele & Soybilgen, Barış & Yazgan, Ege, 2016.
"Nowcasting Turkish GDP and news decomposition,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1369-1384.
- Michele Modugno & Bariş Soybilgen & M. Ege Yazgan, 2016. "Nowcasting Turkish GDP and News Decomposition," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-044, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Working papers
- Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2016.
"An Evaluation Of Inflation Expectations In Turkey,"
Working Papers
1601, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.
- Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2017. "An evaluation of inflation expectations in Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 17(1), pages 1-31–38.
Cited by:
- Cogoljević, Dušan & Gavrilović, Milan & Roganović, Miloš & Matić, Ivana & Piljan, Ivan, 2018. "Analyzing of consumer price index influence on inflation by multiple linear regression," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 941-944.
- Alonso, Pablo, 2018. "Creation and Evolution of Inflation Expectations in Paraguay," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 9027, Inter-American Development Bank.
- Şule GÜNDÜZ & Seçkin YILDIRIM & Mübeccel Banu DURUKAN, 2020. "An Investigation of the Factors Affecting Inflation Perceptions: A Case Study on Business and Economics Undergraduate Students Abstract: The aim of this study is to investigate the factors behind the ," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 28(45).
- Michele Modugno & Bariş Soybilgen & M. Ege Yazgan, 2016.
"Nowcasting Turkish GDP and News Decomposition,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2016-044, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Modugno, Michele & Soybilgen, Barış & Yazgan, Ege, 2016. "Nowcasting Turkish GDP and news decomposition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1369-1384.
Cited by:
- Tóth, Peter, 2014.
"Malý dynamický faktorový model na krátkodobé prognózovanie slovenského HDP [A Small Dynamic Factor Model for the Short-Term Forecasting of Slovak GDP],"
MPRA Paper
63713, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tóth, Peter, 2017. "Nowcasting Slovak GDP by a Small Dynamic Factor Model," MPRA Paper 77245, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tony Chernis & Calista Cheung & Gabriella Velasco, 2017.
"A Three-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model for Nowcasting Canadian Provincial GDP Growth,"
Discussion Papers
17-8, Bank of Canada.
- Chernis, Tony & Cheung, Calista & Velasco, Gabriella, 2020. "A three-frequency dynamic factor model for nowcasting Canadian provincial GDP growth," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 851-872.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2021.
"Back to the Present: Learning about the Euro Area through a Now-casting Model,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
1313, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Ferreira, Thiago R.T. & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele, 2024. "Back to the present: Learning about the euro area through a now-casting model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 661-686.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019.
"When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage,"
Working Papers
2019-04, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working Papers hal-04159714, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2023. "When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage," Post-Print hal-03919944, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," EconomiX Working Papers 2020-11, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working papers 717, Banque de France.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Papers 2007.00273, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2023. "When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1188-1202, October.
- Daniel Kaufmann & Rolf Scheufele, 2015.
"Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations,"
KOF Working papers
15-378, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Kaufmann, Daniel & Scheufele, Rolf, 2017. "Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 878-893.
- Soybilgen, Barış & Yazgan, Ege, 2018. "Evaluating nowcasts of bridge equations with advanced combination schemes for the Turkish unemployment rate," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 99-108.
- Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski, 2022.
"Macroeconometric forecasting using a cluster of dynamic factor models,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 43-91, July.
- Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski, 2020. "Macroeconometric Forecasting Using a Cluster of Dynamic Factor Models," WIFO Working Papers 614, WIFO.
- Oguzhan Cepni & I. Ethem Guney & Norman R. Swanson, 2020. "Forecasting and nowcasting emerging market GDP growth rates: The role of latent global economic policy uncertainty and macroeconomic data surprise factors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 18-36, January.
- Raïsa Basselier & David Antonio Liedo & Geert Langenus, 2018. "Nowcasting Real Economic Activity in the Euro Area: Assessing the Impact of Qualitative Surveys," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 1-46, April.
- Cepni, Oguzhan & Güney, I. Ethem & Swanson, Norman R., 2019. "Nowcasting and forecasting GDP in emerging markets using global financial and macroeconomic diffusion indexes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 555-572.
- Barış Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2018.
"Nowcasting the New Turkish GDP,"
Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(2), pages 1083-1089.
- Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2017. "Nowcasting The New Turkish Gdp," Working Papers 1702, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.
- Caruso, Alberto, 2019.
"Macroeconomic news and market reaction: Surprise indexes meet nowcasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1725-1734.
- Alberto Caruso, 2018. "Macroeconomic News and Market Reaction: Surprise Indexes meet Nowcasting," Working Papers ECARES 2018-06, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Ali B. Barlas & Seda Guler Mert & Berk Orkun Isa & Alvaro Ortiz & Tomasa Rodrigo & Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2024. "Big data financial transactions and GDP nowcasting: The case of Turkey," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 227-248, March.
- Konstantin S. Rybak, 2023. "Анализ Важности Глобальных Факторов Для Наукастинга Ввп," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 12, pages 18-23, December.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Matteo Luciani & Michele Modugno, 2023. "Lessons from Nowcasting GDP across the World," International Finance Discussion Papers 1385, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Daniela Bragoli & Michele Modugno, 2016.
"A Nowcasting Model for Canada: Do U.S. Variables Matter?,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2016-036, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Bragoli, Daniela & Modugno, Michele, 2017. "A now-casting model for Canada: Do U.S. variables matter?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 786-800.
- Glocker, Christian & Kaniovski, Serguei, 2020. "Structural modeling and forecasting using a cluster of dynamic factor models," MPRA Paper 101874, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ali B. Barlas & Seda Guler Mert & Berk Orkun Isa & Alvaro Ortiz & Tomasa Rodrigo & Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2021. "Big Data Information and Nowcasting: Consumption and Investment from Bank Transactions in Turkey," Papers 2107.03299, arXiv.org.
- Mahmut Gunay, 2018. "Nowcasting Annual Turkish GDP Growth with MIDAS," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1810, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Porshakov, Alexey & Deryugina, Elena & Ponomarenko, Alexey & Sinyakov, Andrey, 2015.
"Nowcasting and short-term forecasting of Russian GDP with a dynamic factor model,"
BOFIT Discussion Papers
19/2015, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Alexey Porshakov & Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko & Andrey Sinyakov, 2015. "Nowcasting and Short-Term Forecasting of Russian GDP with a Dynamic Factor Model," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps2, Bank of Russia.
- Porshakov, A. & Ponomarenko, A. & Sinyakov, A., 2016. "Nowcasting and Short-Term Forecasting of Russian GDP with a Dynamic Factor Model," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 30(2), pages 60-76.
- Caruso, Alberto, 2018. "Nowcasting with the help of foreign indicators: The case of Mexico," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 160-168.
- Barış Soybilgen & M. Ege Yazgan & Hüseyin Kaya, 2023. "Nowcasting Turkish Food Inflation Using Daily Online Prices," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(2), pages 171-190, September.
- Konstantin S. Rybak, 2023. "Evaluating the Role of Global Factors in GDP Nowcasting [Анализ Важности Глобальных Факторов Для Наукастинга Ввп]," Russian Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 12, pages 18-23, December.
Articles
- Barış Soybilgen & Huseyin Kaya & Dincer Dedeoglu, 2019.
"Evaluating the effect of geopolitical risks on the growth rates of emerging countries,"
Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(1), pages 717-725.
Cited by:
- Wang, Fei & Liu, Xiaoyan, 2023. "Resources extraction and geopolitical risk: A novel perspective of World's biggest economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
- Saakshi Jha & Sunny Bhushan & Nupur Nirola, 2024. "Is geopolitical risk always detrimental to economic growth?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1-31, April.
- Satar Bakhsh & Md Shabbir Alam & Wei Zhang, 2024. "Green finance and Sustainable Development Goals: is there a role for geopolitical uncertainty?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 1-30, August.
- Dogan, Eyup & Majeed, Muhammad Tariq & Luni, Tania, 2021. "Analyzing the impacts of geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty on natural resources rents," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Wang, Guoyu & Gu, Xiao & Shen, Xi & Uktamov, Khusniddin Fakhriddinovich & Ageli, Mohammed Moosa, 2023. "A dual risk perspective of China's resources market: Geopolitical risk and political risk," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Sweidan, Osama D. & Elbargathi, Khadiga, 2022. "The effect of oil rent on economic development in Saudi Arabia: Comparing the role of globalization and the international geopolitical risk," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Zhou, Bingjun & Huang, Yan & Gao, Ke & Luo, Chunyang, 2024. "How geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty impact coal, natural gas, and oil rent? Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Naif Alsagr & Stefan F. Van Hemmen Almazor, 2020. "Oil Rent, Geopolitical Risk and Banking Sector Performance," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 305-314.
- Kong, Yan & Dong, Chuntong & Zhang, Yingyu, 2023. "Quantile on Quantile Analysis of Natural resources-growth and geopolitical risk trilemma," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
- Miaozhi Yu & Na Wang, 2023. "The Influence of Geopolitical Risk on International Direct Investment and Its Countermeasures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-14, January.
- Cao, Lansheng & Gu, Ming & Jin, Ding & Wang, Changyan, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and economic security: Exploring natural resources extraction from BRICS region," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
- Olena STRYZHAK & Ramazan SAYAR & Yılmaz Onur ARI, 2022. "Geopolitical risks, GDP and tourism: an ARDL-ECM cointegration study on Ukraine," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 14(1), pages 85-113, May.
- Burak Alparslan Eroğlu & Barış Soybilgen, 2018.
"On the Performance of Wavelet Based Unit Root Tests,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-22, August.
Cited by:
- Aydin, Mucahit, 2019. "A New Nonlinear Wavelet-Based Unit Root Test with Structural Breaks," MPRA Paper 98693, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Thanasis Stengos, 2019. "Nonparametric Econometric Methods and Applications," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-3, November.
- Peter S. Sephton, 2024. "Finite Sample Lag Adjusted Critical Values and Probability Values for the Fourier Wavelet Unit Root Test," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(2), pages 693-705, August.
- Soybilgen, Barış & Yazgan, Ege, 2018.
"Evaluating nowcasts of bridge equations with advanced combination schemes for the Turkish unemployment rate,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 99-108.
Cited by:
- Oscar Claveria, 2019.
"Forecasting the unemployment rate using the degree of agreement in consumer unemployment expectations,"
Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 53(1), pages 1-10, December.
- Claveria, Oscar, 2019. "Forecasting the unemployment rate using the degree of agreement in consumer unemployment expectations," Journal for Labour Market Research, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 53(1), pages 1-3.
- Stankevich, Ivan, 2020. "Comparison of macroeconomic indicators nowcasting methods: Russian GDP case," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 59, pages 113-127.
- Ali B. Barlas & Seda Guler Mert & Berk Orkun Isa & Alvaro Ortiz & Tomasa Rodrigo & Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2024. "Big data financial transactions and GDP nowcasting: The case of Turkey," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 227-248, March.
- Stankevich, Ivan, 2023. "Application of Markov-Switching MIDAS models to nowcasting of GDP and its components," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 70, pages 122-143.
- Ali B. Barlas & Seda Guler Mert & Berk Orkun Isa & Alvaro Ortiz & Tomasa Rodrigo & Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2021. "Big Data Information and Nowcasting: Consumption and Investment from Bank Transactions in Turkey," Papers 2107.03299, arXiv.org.
- Oscar Claveria, 2019.
"Forecasting the unemployment rate using the degree of agreement in consumer unemployment expectations,"
Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 53(1), pages 1-10, December.
- Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2017.
"An evaluation of inflation expectations in Turkey,"
Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 17(1), pages 1-31–38.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2016. "An Evaluation Of Inflation Expectations In Turkey," Working Papers 1601, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.
- Modugno, Michele & Soybilgen, Barış & Yazgan, Ege, 2016.
"Nowcasting Turkish GDP and news decomposition,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1369-1384.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Michele Modugno & Bariş Soybilgen & M. Ege Yazgan, 2016. "Nowcasting Turkish GDP and News Decomposition," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-044, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
More information
Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.Statistics
Access and download statistics for all items
Co-authorship network on CollEc
NEP Fields
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 4 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.- NEP-ARA: MENA - Middle East and North Africa (4) 2012-05-08 2016-03-29 2016-06-14 2017-08-20
- NEP-CWA: Central and Western Asia (3) 2016-03-29 2016-06-14 2017-08-20
- NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (3) 2016-03-29 2016-06-14 2017-08-20
- NEP-CBA: Central Banking (1) 2016-03-29
- NEP-FOR: Forecasting (1) 2017-08-20
- NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (1) 2016-03-29
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